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Insights

Reports, not picks

How our projections did against the market, losses shown, and factual opening-lines reports. Updated Sep 2, 2026

Information, not advice. Every article here is a report: what our numbers did against the market (from an immutable, pre-game log), or what the market has posted. No page publishes a pick, lean or edge.

Latest reports

Newest first · auto-generated weekly

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Aug 24 to 30, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Aug 24 to 30, 2026: moneyline 22-18 (55.0%) at Brier 0.260; totals off 4.26 runs over 40 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Aug 17 to 23, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Aug 17 to 23, 2026: moneyline 49-18 (73.1%) at Brier 0.229; totals off 3.5 runs over 67 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Aug 10 to 16, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Aug 10 to 16, 2026: moneyline 42-38 (52.5%) at Brier 0.251; totals off 3.5 runs over 80 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Aug 3 to 9, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Aug 3 to 9, 2026: moneyline 49-34 (59.0%) at Brier 0.243; totals off 3.46 runs over 83 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Jul 27 to Aug 2, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 27 to Aug 2, 2026: moneyline 51-34 (60.0%) at Brier 0.246; totals off 3.92 runs over 85 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Jul 20 to 26, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 20 to 26, 2026: moneyline 42-48 (46.7%) at Brier 0.251; totals off 3.63 runs over 90 games.

Model vs Market · MLB

MLB Model vs Market: Jul 13 to 19, 2026

MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 13 to 19, 2026: moneyline 29-14 (67.4%) at Brier 0.240; totals off 3.82 runs over 43 games.

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