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Reports, not picks

How our projections did against the market — losses shown — and factual opening-lines reports. Updated Aug 5, 2026

Information, not advice. Every article here is a report: what our numbers did against the market (from an immutable, pre-game log), or what the market has posted. No page publishes a pick, lean or edge.

Latest reports

Newest first · auto-generated weekly
Model vs Market · MLB
MLB Model vs Market — Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2026
MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2026: moneyline 51-34 (60.0%) at Brier 0.246; totals off 3.92 runs over 85 games.
2026-08-02
Model vs Market · MLB
MLB Model vs Market — Jul 20–26, 2026
MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 20–26, 2026: moneyline 42-48 (46.7%) at Brier 0.251; totals off 3.63 runs over 90 games.
2026-07-26
Model vs Market · MLB
MLB Model vs Market — Jul 13–19, 2026
MLB projections vs. the market for Jul 13–19, 2026: moneyline 29-14 (67.4%) at Brier 0.240; totals off 3.82 runs over 43 games.
2026-07-19

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