NFL · Lines & Game Context

NFL Lines & Game Context

The market's spread, total and moneyline for every game on the board, with factual context

Information, not picks. These are the sportsbooks' spread, total and moneyline: the consensus of major US books, with the best available price noted. Shown beside neutral, public game context (venue, roof, how the market is leaning). In season we also publish an NFL projection for every game, a home win probability and projected total points, logged before kickoff and graded against the market on our public track record, wins and losses included. A projection is not a pick, and we claim no edge over the market. Lines move all week; figures reflect our latest refresh.

Player props: every lined NFL player prop this week, with book comparison and movement

This week: NFL Week 6 lines, spreads and movement

Our model's number for Week 6

Model v2 · stamped 2026-10-13 · rebuilt every Tuesday

Projection, not a pick. Our NFL model is measured against the market on every graded game. It currently trails the market on both moneyline and total points, and we publish the gap: see how far behind, and the full record.

GameDateModel home winMarket home winModel totalMarket totalOur projectionStatus
Seattle Seahawks at Denver BroncosThu Oct 1545.2%41.7%41.540.5SEA 54.8%Over 40.5Side wrong
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles RamsSun Oct 1876.7%86.0%51.052.5LAR 76.7%Under 52.5Waiting on the result
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland BrownsSun Oct 1832.3%33.6%44.841.5BAL 67.7%Over 41.5Waiting on the result
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas RaidersSun Oct 1826.1%29.8%52.853.5BUF 74.0%Under 53.5Waiting on the result
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun Oct 1855.1%51.1%44.741.5PHI 55.1%Over 41.5Waiting on the result
Chicago Bears at Atlanta FalconsSun Oct 1848.8%38.6%46.649.2CHI 51.2%Under 49.2Waiting on the result
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay PackersSun Oct 1859.3%51.1%50.553.0GB 59.3%Under 53.0Waiting on the result
Houston Texans at Jacksonville JaguarsSun Oct 1864.6%57.1%42.042.5JAX 64.6%Under 42.5Waiting on the result
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City ChiefsSun Oct 1873.2%77.6%41.342.0KC 73.2%Under 42.0Waiting on the result
New Orleans Saints at New York GiantsSun Oct 1859.1%50.0%44.045.5NYG 59.1%Under 45.5Waiting on the result
New York Jets at New England PatriotsSun Oct 1874.3%74.0%40.843.5NE 74.3%Under 43.5Waiting on the result
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun Oct 1851.4%42.5%42.740.5TB 51.4%Over 40.5Waiting on the result
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis ColtsSun Oct 1869.5%73.5%45.944.0IND 69.5%Over 44.0Waiting on the result
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ersMon Oct 1972.5%76.4%50.050.5SF 72.5%Under 50.5Waiting on the result

How the side we named has done, across every week we have published. 35 right and 28 wrong out of 63 graded moneyline sides, 1 pushed. 29 right and 34 wrong out of 63 graded Over or Under sides, 1 pushed.

The side is read off the two numbers beside it and nothing else: the team our win probability puts above a coin flip, and Over or Under depending on which way our projected points fall against the quoted line. Our side is the other team from the market's favourite in 1 of these 14 games, which is worth knowing and is not worth acting on: where we and the market disagree, the market has been right more often than we have. The full projections page has the measured gap, the record split by model version, and the method.

NFL lines at our latest capture

Snapshot as of 2026-10-17 01:20 PM ET (the feed's own stamp)

MatchupKickoff (ET)Consensus spread (home)Consensus totalConsensus ML (away / home)
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars10/18 09:30 AM ETJAX -2.5O/U 42.5+120 / -145
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons10/18 01:00 PM ETATL +1.5O/U 52.0-116 / -102
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns10/18 01:00 PM ETCLE +3O/U 39.5-166 / +140
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles10/18 01:00 PM ETPHI +3O/U 39.0-166 / +140
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts10/18 01:00 PM ETIND -7O/U 44.5+270 / -340
New York Jets @ New England Patriots10/18 01:00 PM ETNE -7.5O/U 43.5+280 / -350
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants10/18 01:00 PM ETNYG +1.5O/U 46.0-112 / -108
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers10/18 01:00 PM ETTB +2.5O/U 38.5-145 / +120
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams10/18 04:05 PM ETLAR -12.5O/U 51.5+560 / -750
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders10/18 04:25 PM ETLV +5.5O/U 53.5-235 / +190
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs10/18 04:25 PM ETKC -7.5O/U 41.5+333 / -425
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers10/18 08:20 PM ETGB -1.5O/U 53.5-102 / -118
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers10/19 08:15 PM ETSF -7.5O/U 52.0+330 / -420
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears10/22 08:15 PM ETCHI -1.5O/U 49.0+106 / -126
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints10/25 09:30 AM ETNO +2O/U 44.5-137 / +117
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons10/25 01:00 PM ETATL +4.5O/U 49.5-219 / +182
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens10/25 01:00 PM ETBAL -3.5O/U 51.0+150 / -180
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers10/25 01:00 PM ETCAR -2.8O/U 44.5+129 / -153
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans10/25 01:00 PM ETTEN +1.5O/U 37.5-120 / +2
New York Giants @ Houston Texans10/25 01:00 PM ETHOU -7.2O/U 41.5+300 / -380
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings10/25 01:00 PM ETMIN -5O/U 43.5+200 / -244
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets10/25 01:00 PM ETNYJ -4.5O/U 39.0+184 / -222
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions10/25 04:25 PM ETDET -3.2O/U 52.5+158 / -190
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders10/25 04:25 PM ETLV +6.8O/U 48.5-320 / +258

Showing 24 of 24 upcoming games with posted lines (next 12 days). Prices are the board's consensus at our latest capture. Information, not picks. This table is a static snapshot written into the page at generation time from the same published feed the in-browser view reads; when scripts run, the live view replaces it in place. Posted lines move.

Odds are aggregated from major US sportsbooks and refresh a few times a day. "Spread" and "Total" are the consensus line (median of DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM); moneyline shown is the consensus American price. "Best" is the most favorable price we saw across books. Game context (venue, roof, market movement) is factual and provided for information only.

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NFL team reports

Factual results, against-the-spread and Over/Under records for every team. browse all team reports

AFC EastBuffalo BillsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
AFC NorthBaltimore RavensCincinnati BengalsCleveland BrownsPittsburgh Steelers
AFC SouthHouston TexansIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsTennessee Titans
AFC WestDenver BroncosKansas City ChiefsLas Vegas RaidersLos Angeles Chargers
NFC EastDallas CowboysNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesWashington Commanders
NFC NorthChicago BearsDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota Vikings
NFC SouthAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC WestArizona CardinalsLos Angeles RamsSan Francisco 49ersSeattle Seahawks