Information, not picks. Every figure below is a factual record drawn from completed games and the market's spread/total: win-loss counts, cover counts and Over/Under counts, nothing more. We publish no pick, lean, or projection on this page. "Against the spread" counts games by the market's closing line, or the opening line where no closing price was recorded. Records cover the seasons present in our data (2020-2026 for line-based records) and are current as of Oct 18, 2026.
Next game & market line
The market's number, not our projection · as of Oct 18, 2026
Straight-up, against-the-spread and total records · as of Oct 18, 2026
2026 record
4-1
.800 win%
2026 ATS
4-1
5 lined
2026 Over/Under
4-1
5 w/ total
Home / Away (SU)
2-1 / 2-0
2026 scoring
32.8
28.2 allowed
per game
Current streak
W1
Bills ATS record & Over/Under record
ATS means against the spread. Games with a recorded closing (or opening) line, 2020-2026 · cover/over counts only, no advice · as of Oct 18, 2026
ATS record
65-53-1
119 lined games
Over / Under
63-55
Home ATS
36-26-1
63 games
Away ATS
29-27
56 games
As favorite (ATS)
56-45-1
77-25 SU
102 games
As underdog (ATS)
9-8
8-9 SU
17 games
Last 10 ATS
6-4
Last 10 O/U
7-3
Bills wins by season (season win totals, 2016 to 2025)
History, not a projection. These are the regular-season games the Bills actually won, counted from completed games in our nflverse-derived archive. This page publishes no win-total line and no forecast for the season ahead · as of Oct 18, 2026
Median wins, 2016 to 2025
11
10 finished seasons
Most wins in the window
13
2020, 2022 and 2024
Fewest wins in the window
6
2018
Seasons with 10 or more wins
7
of 10
Season
Record
Wins
Games played
2025
12-5
12
17
2024
13-4
13
17
2023
11-6
11
17
2022
13-3
13
16
2021
11-6
11
17
2020
13-3
13
16
2019
10-6
10
16
2018
6-10
6
16
2017
9-7
9
16
2016
7-9
7
16
Finished with 10 or more wins in 7 of the last 10 seasons (2016 to 2025). The same 10-win benchmark is applied on all 32 team pages, so the counts compare.
Fewest in the window: 6 wins (2018). Most: 13 wins (2020, 2022 and 2024). Median 11.
The NFL regular season went from 16 games to 17 in 2021, so win counts either side of that change are not on the same scale. The Games played column states how long each season was.
2022 counts 16 games rather than 17: one scheduled fixture was never played. It is absent from the nflverse game file this archive is built from, so it is absent here.
The 2026 season is still being played and is not counted in any figure above. Its record so far is in the season snapshot on this page.
Season-by-season
Straight-up · ATS · O/U · points for/against · as of Oct 18, 2026
Season
Record
ATS
O/U
PF/g
PA/g
2026
4-1
4-1
4-1
32.8
28.2
2025
13-6
10-9
10-9
28.3
22.2
2024
15-5
12-7-1
11-9
30.6
21.6
2023
12-7
8-11
8-10
26.6
18.7
2022
14-4
8-10
7-11
27.7
19.1
2021
12-7
11-8
10-9
29.8
18.3
Recent market trends
Factual spread/total & win splits over the 2023-2026 seasons · every trend shows its sample size (n); minimum 30 games · historical record, not predictive · as of Oct 18, 2026
Covers the spread, overall
54%
n=63 · 2023-2026
Covers the spread, as a favorite
55%
n=53 · 2023-2026
Covers the spread, at home
58%
n=33 · 2023-2026
Covers the spread, on the road
50%
n=30 · 2023-2026
Wins straight up, as a favorite
74%
n=53 · 2023-2026
Games go Over the total
53%
n=62 · 2023-2026
Injury report
Players listed Out / Doubtful / IR / Suspension / PUP (and Questionable in-season) · ESPN snapshot Oct 17, 2026 · status only, no projections
QuestionableEd OliverDT
QuestionableDee AlfordCB
QuestionableJoshua PalmerWR
QuestionableDJ MooreWR
QuestionableT.J. SandersDT
QuestionableTe'Cory CouchCB
Franchise odds-history notes
Factual splits from our data · 1999-2026 · as of Oct 18, 2026
Its games have gone 63-55 to the Over (2020-2026); average posted total 47.6.
In one-score finishes (≤3 pts): 51-60 straight up over 111 games (1999-2026).
Averaged 22.2 scored and 21.6 allowed across 458 games in the data (1999-2026).
Roster notables: 2026 season leaders
Team leaders from completed 2026 games · as of Oct 18, 2026 · reflects 2026 rosters, offseason trades and signings are not shown