All 16 NFL Week 4 games are on our board, kicking off Thursday, Oct 1 to Monday, Oct 5, 2026. As of Oct 1 the consensus spread averages 5.31 points and the consensus total averages 43.22. Since our first read of these games on Jul 23, 15 of the 16 spreads and 15 of the totals have moved, and 2 games have changed favorite.
The live board is at NFL odds. This page is a dated read of it, taken 2026-10-05 06:20 PM ET, set against our own first read of the same games at 2026-07-23 02:06 AM ET.
Week 4 in the last 5 seasons
Three rates from completed games in our own results table, each with the window it covers and the number of games behind it. They describe what has happened, not what is going to: a rate over 1,355 games is a fact about those games. This season is 64 games old: home teams are 36-28 through weeks 1, 2, 3 and 4.
| Measure | Record | Rate | Window and sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home teams, week 4 only | 43-36 | 54.4% | 79 regular-season games, 2021 to 2025 |
| Home teams, every week | 733-622 | 54.1% | 1,355 regular-season games, 2021 to 2025 |
| Favorites, straight up | 743-363 | 67.2% | 1,106 regular-season games, 2021 to 2025 |
Regular-season games only, 2021 to 2025. Ties are counted separately and left out of the rate rather than buried in it (4 in the window). The favorite is taken from the last spread we captured before kickoff, which is not a closing line: our archive is a fixed-hour grid and that read can be hours old. It covers the 1,111 of 1,359 games where a pre-kickoff spread of ours matches exactly one scheduled game.
NFL Week 4 Matchups
| Game | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Moneyline | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | Thu 8:15 PM | PIT −2.5 | 38 | −148 / +125 | 8 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | Sun 9:30 AM | IND −4.5 | 46.5 | −235 / +190 | 8 |
| Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | Sun 1:02 PM | ARI −3.5 | 48.5 | −225 / +172 | 6 |
| Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans | Sun 1:02 PM | HOU −5.5 | 51.5 | +194 / −250 | 6 |
| Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sun 1:02 PM | GB −4.5 | 35.5 | −249 / +183 | 6 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals | Sun 1:02 PM | CIN −1.5 | 45.5 | −107 / −124 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles | Sun 1:02 PM | LAR −3.5 | 41.5 | −186 / +144 | 6 |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | Sun 1:02 PM | BUF −2.5 | 50.5 | +111 / −146 | 6 |
| New York Jets at Chicago Bears | Sun 1:02 PM | CHI −6.5 | 46.5 | +250 / −333 | 6 |
| Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens | Sun 1:02 PM | BAL −13.5 | 47.5 | +630 / −1100 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings | Sun 4:05 PM | MIN −8.5 | 25.5 | +625 / −1140 | 6 |
| Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers | Sun 4:25 PM | SF −1.5 | 28.5 | +104 / −137 | 6 |
| Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders | Sun 4:25 PM | KC −1.5 | 39.5 | −138 / +105 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks | Sun 4:25 PM | SEA −20.5 | 47.5 | +3500 / −50000 | 6 |
| Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers | Sun 8:20 PM | DET −3.5 | 51.5 | −210 / +170 | 8 |
| Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints | Mon 8:15 PM | NO −1.5 | 47.5 | +100 / −120 | 8 |
All 16 Week 4 games, no selection applied, in kickoff order, kicking off Thursday, Oct 1 to Monday, Oct 5 with 14 games on Sunday, Oct 4. Consensus is the median across the books quoting each game at 2026-10-05 06:20 PM ET, and Books is how many of them there were. Moneyline is the away price first, then the home price. Kickoff times are ET, on the weekday shown.
The highest total on the board is Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans and Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers at 51.5. The lowest is 25.5, on Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings, a gap of 26 points between the highest and lowest expectations of scoring in the same week.
The widest spread is Seattle Seahawks by 20.5 over Los Angeles Chargers; Los Angeles Chargers are 0-4 this season and Seattle Seahawks 3-1; they last met in week 4 of 2026, SEA 30 LAC 23. The closest game is 4 games at 1.5 points.
How much have the Week 4 lines moved?
The Jul 23 column below is the earliest line we hold on each of these games, recorded the day this page first published and never revised since. It is our first read of the board rather than the number the market opened at: sportsbooks hang lookahead lines when the schedule comes out, months before we started reading these games. Both columns are measured the same way off the same archive, which is what makes the pair comparable at all.
15 of the 16 spreads have moved and one has not, 10 toward the road team and 5 toward the home team. The largest is 17.5 points and the median move across all 16 games is 2 points. 15 of the 16 totals have moved, 7 up and 8 down, the largest being Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings at −18. Neither number has moved on no games. 2 favorites have changed sides: Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders, where the board had WAS by 1.5 and now has IND by 4.5; Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants, where the board had NYG by 7 and now has ARI by 3.5. A move like that travels the whole distance across the middle, which is why the move column states a direction rather than the difference between two magnitudes.
| Game | Spread Jul 23 | Now | Move | Total Jul 23 | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT at CLE | PIT −2.5 | PIT −2.5 | no change | 40.5 | 38 | −2.5 |
| IND at WAS | WAS −1.5 | IND −4.5 | 6 to IND | 50 | 46.5 | −3.5 |
| ARI at NYG | NYG −7 | ARI −3.5 | 10.5 to ARI | 45.5 | 48.5 | +3 |
| DAL at HOU | HOU −2.5 | HOU −5.5 | 3 to HOU | 47.5 | 51.5 | +4 |
| GB at TB | GB −1.5 | GB −4.5 | 3 to GB | 47.5 | 35.5 | −12 |
| JAX at CIN | CIN −2.5 | CIN −1.5 | 1 to JAX | 51.5 | 45.5 | −6 |
| LAR at PHI | LAR −1.5 | LAR −3.5 | 2 to LAR | 47.5 | 41.5 | −6 |
| NE at BUF | BUF −3 | BUF −2.5 | 0.5 to NE | 49.5 | 50.5 | +1 |
| NYJ at CHI | CHI −8.5 | CHI −6.5 | 2 to NYJ | 45.5 | 46.5 | +1 |
| TEN at BAL | BAL −8.5 | BAL −13.5 | 5 to BAL | 47.5 | 47.5 | no change |
| MIA at MIN | MIN −7.5 | MIN −8.5 | 1 to MIN | 43.5 | 25.5 | −18 |
| DEN at SF | SF −2.5 | SF −1.5 | 1 to DEN | 46.5 | 28.5 | −18 |
| KC at LV | KC −5.5 | KC −1.5 | 4 to LV | 43.5 | 39.5 | −4 |
| LAC at SEA | SEA −3 | SEA −20.5 | 17.5 to SEA | 45.5 | 47.5 | +2 |
| DET at CAR | DET −3 | DET −3.5 | 0.5 to DET | 47.5 | 51.5 | +4 |
| ATL at NO | NO −2.5 | NO −1.5 | 1 to ATL | 45.5 | 47.5 | +2 |
All 16 Week 4 games, complete and in kickoff order, as our first read found them at 2026-07-23 02:06 AM ET and as the same games read at 2026-10-05 06:20 PM ET. No row is highlighted because a number moved on every game. A spread move is written as the distance the number travelled and the side it travelled toward, which is the only way to state a move on a game whose favorite changed.
The moneyline tells the same story from the other side. The consensus price has changed on 16 of the 16 games while the spread has changed on 15. A price is quoted in cents and can be changed by any amount at any time; a spread or a total has to move in half points, so a book charging slightly more for the same side moves the price and leaves the number where it is. A board that looks still is not necessarily a board that has stopped moving.
| Game | Moneyline Jul 23 (away / home) | Moneyline now (away / home) |
|---|---|---|
| PIT at CLE | −142 / +120 | −148 / +125 |
| IND at WAS | −102 / −117 | −235 / +190 |
| ARI at NYG | +250 / −310 | −225 / +172 |
| DAL at HOU | +114 / −135 | +194 / −250 |
| GB at TB | −125 / +105 | −249 / +183 |
| JAX at CIN | +114 / −135 | −107 / −124 |
| LAR at PHI | −125 / +105 | −186 / +144 |
| NE at BUF | +136 / −162 | +111 / −146 |
| NYJ at CHI | +310 / −395 | +250 / −333 |
| TEN at BAL | +310 / −395 | +630 / −1100 |
| MIA at MIN | +280 / −355 | +625 / −1140 |
| DEN at SF | +114 / −135 | +104 / −137 |
| KC at LV | −245 / +200 | −138 / +105 |
| LAC at SEA | +136 / −162 | +3500 / −50000 |
| DET at CAR | −162 / +136 | −210 / +170 |
| ATL at NO | +114 / −135 | +100 / −120 |
Consensus prices only, away price first, all 16 games in kickoff order.
How many books are behind these numbers?
A consensus is only as firm as the count behind it. Across these 16 games the board carries 6 to 8 books per game, and the Books column above prints the count for each one. A game quoted by a handful of books has a consensus in the arithmetic sense, but it is a median of a handful of opinions and one book repricing moves it. The same reading taken in the days before kickoff, when every book has the game up, is a firmer measurement of the same thing.
How this was measured
- Source: our own odds archive, the same captures the live board at nebulainsights.net/odds/nfl.html is rendered from. Every current figure on this page was checked against that published board cell for cell before the page was written: 0 comparisons, 0 disagreements.
- The Jul 23 column is the earliest capture we hold for each of these games, read at 2026-07-23 02:06 AM ET and recorded on the day this page first published, never revised since. A later rebuild moves the current column and the stamps and cannot move that one. It is our first read of the board, not the market opening number: books post lookahead lines at schedule release and we hold no record of those.
- Consensus per market is the median across the books quoting that game, rounded to one decimal for spreads and totals and to the nearest whole number for prices. It is not a price any single book guarantees, and with an even count of books it can land between two posted numbers.
- Week 4 is every game the NFL schedule assigns to week 4 of the 2026 regular season, 16 games in total, with nothing dropped. All 16 carry a line.
- A number counts as moved when the two consensus figures differ by any amount. No threshold is applied and nothing is rounded before the comparison. Spread moves are measured from the home side and printed as a distance and a direction, because a game that changes favorite cannot be measured as the difference between two magnitudes. A moneyline counts as moved when either side of it differs, and no arithmetic is done on that difference: american prices are discontinuous across 100, so a cents figure spanning that boundary would not mean what it reads as.
- The three rates at the top are completed regular-season games from our own results table, 2021 to 2025, with ties counted separately. The favorite in that table is taken from the last spread we captured before kickoff, which is not a closing line: the archive is a fixed-hour grid and that read can be hours old. Records, rest days and previous meetings named beside a game come from the same results table.
- The board moves through the day, which makes every current number above a dated snapshot rather than a live quote. The board itself carries the current one.
Other weeks in this series: Week 3 and Week 5.
Next steps
Frequently asked questions
What are the NFL Week 4 lines for 2026?
All 16 games are listed above with a consensus spread, total and moneyline read at 2026-10-05 06:20 PM ET. The spread averages 5.31 points across the week and the total averages 43.22, with totals running from 25.5 to 51.5. The live board carries the current number on every game.
Have the NFL Week 4 2026 lines moved?
Since our first read of these games on Jul 23, 15 of the 16 spreads and 15 of the totals have changed, and the consensus moneyline has changed on 16. Neither the spread nor the total has moved on no games, and 2 favorites have changed sides.
When is NFL Week 4 in 2026?
Week 4 runs Thursday, Oct 1 to Monday, Oct 5, 2026. It opens with Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns at 8:15 PM ET, carries 14 games on Sunday, Oct 4, and closes with Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints on Monday, Oct 5.
What is the widest spread in NFL Week 4 2026?
Seattle Seahawks by 20.5 over Los Angeles Chargers, as of 2026-10-05 06:20 PM ET. The closest game on the board is 4 games at 1.5 points.
Is the consensus line the price I will get?
No. The consensus is the median across the books our board carries for each game, 6 to 8 books on this week, so it can sit between two posted numbers and no book is obliged to offer it. The board also lists the best posted price per side, and your own sportsbook is the only number you can actually take.
Does Nebula Insights publish a pick on these games?
No. This page reports the market's own numbers with the date they were read attached. We publish no picks, no selections and no recommended wagers, here or anywhere on the site.
Related: NFL odds board · NFL team reports · NFL Week 3 2026 lines · NFL Week 5 2026 lines · How to read NFL odds · NFL key numbers
Every number on this page is the market's own: the consensus spread, total and moneyline the sportsbooks on our board have posted, with the date they were read attached. Nebula Insights publishes no picks, no selections and no recommended wagers, and a total being high or a spread being wide is a fact about the market, not a recommendation. Posted lines move; the live board carries the current number. You must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction.