Between Aug 16 and Sep 1, 2026, 10 of the 16 NFL Week 1 totals moved on our board and 13 of the 16 spreads did not. The median total move is 1 point and the median spread move is zero. One favorite changed: our board had Houston Texans by 1 over Buffalo Bills in August and has Buffalo Bills by 1.5 now.
The live board is at NFL odds. This page is a dated read of it, taken 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET, set against our own read of the same board at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET.
This page published the Week 1 board as it stood at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET. Those numbers are unchanged below and now sit beside the board as of 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET, with the move on every game. Nothing from the August read was edited or removed. The Jul 19, 2026 comparison further down is a separate and older measurement: that report named 22 games, 7 of which are Week 1 games, so the other 9 games in Week 1 carry no published July number and appear in no July comparison.
What are the NFL Week 1 2026 lines?
Week 1 runs from Wednesday, Sep 9 to Monday, Sep 14 on our board: the opener between New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks, 13 games on Sunday, Sep 13, and a Monday night close between Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs. Every game below carries a consensus spread, total and moneyline built from 8 sportsbooks, read at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET.
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks | 09/09 08:15 PM | SEA −3.5 | 44.5 | +164 / −196 | 8 |
| San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams | 09/10 08:35 PM | LAR −3.5 | 48.5 | +165 / −200 | 8 |
| Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers | 09/13 01:00 PM | PIT −3 | 42.5 | +140 / −168 | 8 |
| Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts | 09/13 01:00 PM | BAL −3.5 | 47.5 | −180 / +150 | 8 |
| Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans | 09/13 01:00 PM | BUF −1.5 | 44.5 | −118 / −102 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers | 09/13 01:00 PM | CHI −2.5 | 47.5 | −160 / +130 | 8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals | 09/13 01:00 PM | CIN −3.5 | 50.5 | +165 / −200 | 8 |
| Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars | 09/13 01:00 PM | JAX −7.5 | 40.5 | +310 / −400 | 8 |
| New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions | 09/13 01:00 PM | DET −7 | 50.5 | +250 / −305 | 8 |
| New York Jets at Tennessee Titans | 09/13 01:00 PM | TEN −1.5 | 39.5 | +110 / −130 | 8 |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers | 09/13 04:25 PM | LAC −10.5 | 47.5 | +425 / −550 | 8 |
| Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | 09/13 04:25 PM | MIN −1.5 | 45.5 | +100 / −118 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders | 09/13 04:25 PM | LV −3.5 | 40.5 | +155 / −190 | 8 |
| Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles | 09/13 04:25 PM | PHI −4.5 | 45.5 | +185 / −225 | 8 |
| Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants | 09/13 08:20 PM | DAL −2.5 | 48.5 | −152 / +128 | 8 |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | 09/14 08:15 PM | KC −2.5 | 43.5 | +122 / −145 | 8 |
All 16 Week 1 games, no selection applied. Consensus is the median across the 8 books on our board at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET. Moneyline is listed away price first.
The two ends of the board are Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals with a total of 50.5 and New York Jets at Tennessee Titans with a total of 39.5, a gap of 11 points between the highest and lowest expectations of scoring in the same week. The widest spread is Los Angeles Chargers by 10.5 over Arizona Cardinals; the closest is Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans at 1.5 points.
How much have the Week 1 lines moved since Aug 16?
The Aug 16 column below is what this page published on that date, frozen before this update was written. Reading all 16 games again 16 days later gives the same board twice, off the same feed and the same consensus definition, which is the only thing that makes the pair comparable.
The two markets have not behaved alike. Totals moved on 10 of the 16 games and spreads held on 13 of the 16, so the median total move is 1 point while the median spread move is zero. Neither number has moved on 5 games. Of the totals that did move, 7 went up and 3 came down, the largest being Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles at −1.5.
The spreads that did move all went the same way: 3 of the 16 moved toward the road team and none moved toward the home team. That is 3 games, far too few to read as a pattern in the market. One of them changed which side is favored. Our board had Houston Texans by 1 over Buffalo Bills in August and has Buffalo Bills by 1.5 now, a number that travelled 2.5 points in all.
| Game | Spread Aug 16 | Spread now | Move | Total Aug 16 | Total now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE @ SEA | SEA −3.5 | SEA −3.5 | no change | 44.5 | 44.5 | no change |
| SF @ LAR | LAR −3.5 | LAR −3.5 | no change | 48.5 | 48.5 | no change |
| ATL @ PIT | PIT −3 | PIT −3 | no change | 41.5 | 42.5 | +1 |
| BAL @ IND | BAL −3.5 | BAL −3.5 | no change | 48.5 | 47.5 | −1 |
| BUF @ HOU | HOU −1 | BUF −1.5 | 2.5 to BUF | 44.5 | 44.5 | no change |
| CHI @ CAR | CHI −2.5 | CHI −2.5 | no change | 46.5 | 47.5 | +1 |
| TB @ CIN | CIN −3.5 | CIN −3.5 | no change | 51.5 | 50.5 | −1 |
| CLE @ JAX | JAX −7.5 | JAX −7.5 | no change | 40.5 | 40.5 | no change |
| NO @ DET | DET −7 | DET −7 | no change | 49.5 | 50.5 | +1 |
| NYJ @ TEN | TEN −2.5 | TEN −1.5 | 1 to NYJ | 38.5 | 39.5 | +1 |
| ARI @ LAC | LAC −10.5 | LAC −10.5 | no change | 46.5 | 47.5 | +1 |
| GB @ MIN | MIN −1.5 | MIN −1.5 | no change | 45 | 45.5 | +0.5 |
| MIA @ LV | LV −3.5 | LV −3.5 | no change | 40.5 | 40.5 | no change |
| WAS @ PHI | PHI −4.5 | PHI −4.5 | no change | 47 | 45.5 | −1.5 |
| DAL @ NYG | DAL −2.5 | DAL −2.5 | no change | 48.5 | 48.5 | no change |
| DEN @ KC | KC −2.8 | KC −2.5 | 0.3 to DEN | 42.5 | 43.5 | +1 |
All 16 Week 1 games, complete and in board order, as this page published them at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET and as the same board reads at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET. The 3 highlighted rows are the games whose spread moved, which is the whole rule: nothing else is picked out and nothing is left out. A spread move is written as the distance the number travelled and the side it travelled toward, which is the only way to state a move on a game whose favorite changed.
The moneyline tells the same story from the other side. The consensus price changed on 15 of the 16 games while the spread changed on 3 of them, and the only game priced identically to Aug 16 on both sides is Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars. A price is quoted in cents and can be changed by any amount at any time; a spread or a total has to move in half points, so a book charging slightly more for the same side moves the price and leaves the number where it is. A board that looks still is not necessarily a board that has stopped moving.
| Game | Moneyline Aug 16 (away / home) | Moneyline now (away / home) |
|---|---|---|
| NE @ SEA | +155 / −190 | +164 / −196 |
| SF @ LAR | +160 / −192 | +165 / −200 |
| ATL @ PIT | +136 / −162 | +140 / −168 |
| BAL @ IND | −186 / +155 | −180 / +150 |
| BUF @ HOU | −106 / −110 | −118 / −102 |
| CHI @ CAR | −148 / +125 | −160 / +130 |
| TB @ CIN | +164 / −198 | +165 / −200 |
| CLE @ JAX | +310 / −400 | +310 / −400 |
| NO @ DET | +265 / −325 | +250 / −305 |
| NYJ @ TEN | +120 / −145 | +110 / −130 |
| ARI @ LAC | +450 / −600 | +425 / −550 |
| GB @ MIN | −102 / −118 | +100 / −118 |
| MIA @ LV | +160 / −192 | +155 / −190 |
| WAS @ PHI | +180 / −225 | +185 / −225 |
| DAL @ NYG | −146 / +124 | −152 / +128 |
| DEN @ KC | +125 / −150 | +122 / −145 |
The same 16 Week 1 games in board order, consensus prices only. The highlighted row is the one game quoted identically on both sides at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET and at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET; every other game has moved on at least one side. Away price first.
How the same board looked in July
On Jul 19, 2026 we published an opening lines report off this same board, and it named 22 games across its four tables. That is a different and wider measurement than the one above: 7 of its 22 games are Week 1 games and the rest kick off later, and the other 9 Week 1 games carry no published July number at all, because that report did not name them. Reading all 22 again today is the comparison below. It is the complete set that report named, not a selection made afterwards, which matters: the games were chosen in July by that report's own extremes rule, before anyone knew which of them would move.
Today, 14 of the 22 totals and 19 of the 22 spreads are exactly where they were. The median move in both markets is zero, the largest move in either is 1 point, and the favorite has not changed on any of the 17 games where the July report printed one.
| Game | Kickoff | Total Jul 19 | Total now | Move | Spread Jul 19 | Spread now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB @ CIN | 09/13 01:00 PM | 51.5 | 50.5 | −1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | no change |
| NYJ @ TEN | 09/13 01:00 PM | 38.5 | 39.5 | +1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −1 |
| CLE @ JAX | 09/13 01:00 PM | 40.5 | 40.5 | no change | 7.5 | 7.5 | no change |
| BUF @ HOU | 09/13 01:00 PM | 44.5 | 44.5 | no change | 1.5 | 1.5 | no change |
| ARI @ LAC | 09/13 04:25 PM | 46.5 | 47.5 | +1 | 10.5 | 10.5 | no change |
| MIA @ LV | 09/13 04:25 PM | 40.5 | 40.5 | no change | 3.5 | 3.5 | no change |
| GB @ MIN | 09/13 04:25 PM | 45.5 | 45.5 | no change | 1.5 | 1.5 | no change |
| DET @ BUF | 09/17 08:15 PM | 52.5 | 52.5 | no change | 3 | 3 | no change |
| CAR @ ATL | 09/20 01:00 PM | 43.5 | 43.5 | no change | 1.5 | 1.5 | no change |
| WAS @ DAL | 09/20 04:25 PM | 51.5 | 51.5 | no change | 4.5 | 4.5 | no change |
| MIA @ SF | 09/20 04:25 PM | 46.5 | 46.5 | no change | 10.5 | 10.5 | no change |
| SEA @ ARI | 09/20 04:25 PM | 44.5 | 44.5 | no change | 10 | 10 | no change |
| NYG @ LAR | 09/21 08:15 PM | 47.5 | 48.5 | +1 | 9.5 | 8.5 | −1 |
| NYJ @ DET | 09/27 01:00 PM | 45.5 | 45.5 | no change | 9.5 | 9.5 | no change |
| CAR @ CLE | 09/27 01:00 PM | 40.5 | 39.5 | −1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −1 |
| CIN @ PIT | 09/27 01:00 PM | 47.5 | 46.5 | −1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | no change |
| NE @ JAX | 09/27 01:00 PM | 45.5 | 45.5 | no change | 1.5 | 1.5 | no change |
| ARI @ SF | 09/27 04:05 PM | 46.5 | 46.5 | no change | 11.5 | 11.5 | no change |
| BAL @ DAL | 09/27 04:25 PM | 51 | 51.5 | +0.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | no change |
| JAX @ CIN | 10/04 01:00 PM | 51.5 | 51.5 | no change | 2.5 | 2.5 | no change |
| TB @ DAL | 10/08 08:15 PM | 52.5 | 52.5 | no change | 3.5 | 3.5 | no change |
| CLE @ NYJ | 10/11 01:00 PM | 40.5 | 39.5 | −1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | no change |
Every game named by the Jul 19, 2026 report, 22 of them, re-read at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET. Spreads are magnitudes in this table rather than sides, because the July report printed no favorite beside its closest-games table: the side is checkable on 17 of the 22 and none of those changed. On the other 5 a magnitude column cannot show a side change even when there has been one, which is why the August table above states its spread moves with a direction attached.
The board as a whole reads much the same. That report measured an average total of 45.8 across 75 games in the Sep 9 to Oct 11, 2026 window; the same window today holds 78 games with a total at an average of 45.97. It counted 11 games of 75 posted at 1.5 points or closer; today that window holds 16 of 78. Those are two different sets of games rather than one set measured twice, since the schedule window now carries 3 more games with a total up than it did in July, so the pair reads as two snapshots and not as a movement.
Why Week 1 is priced by 8 books and the rest of the season by 3
The board carries all 272 regular-season games, and the count of sportsbooks quoting each one is not flat across them. All 16 Week 1 games are quoted by 8 books, the same count they carried in August. Across the other 256 games on the board the median is 3 books and the maximum is 4.
That is what a consensus number rests on, and it is why the Week 1 figures above are the firmest ones on the board. A game quoted by 3 books has a consensus in the arithmetic sense, but it is a median of 3 opinions, and one book repricing moves it. The same reading taken in December, when every game is quoted by a full set of books, is a different measurement of a different thing.
Why a consensus spread read 2.8 in August
Our consensus is the median of the numbers the books post, not a number any one book posts. With an even count of books the median sits between the two middle values, so it can land somewhere no sportsbook is offering. The August column carries one: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs read 2.8 at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET, because the 8 books were split across numbers either side of it. The same game reads 2.5 now, which is a number books do post, and all 16 Week 1 spreads currently sit on the half point grid.
The same caution applies to the moneyline columns. Those prices are consensus too, and on 7 of the 16 Week 1 games the book offering the best price on the home spread has it hung on a different number than the consensus, which is the ordinary state of a market rather than a fault in it.
How this was measured
- Source: our own published board at nebulainsights.net/odds/nfl.html, read at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET and quoted cell for cell. It carries 272 games, the full regular season.
- The Aug 16 figures are the ones this page itself published at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET, off the same board and the same consensus definition. They were taken from the published page and frozen before this update was written, so a later refresh moves the current column and leaves the August column untouched.
- Consensus per market is the median across the books quoting that game, rounded to one decimal for spreads and totals and to the nearest whole number for prices. It is not a price any single book guarantees.
- Week 1 is defined as every game kicking off in the six days from the earliest kickoff on the board, Sep 9 to Sep 14, 2026. That is 16 games with nothing dropped, and the same 16 games the August table carried.
- A number counts as moved when the two published consensus figures differ by any amount. No threshold is applied and nothing is rounded before the comparison. Spread moves against the August board are measured from the home side and printed as a distance and a direction, because a game that changes favorite cannot be measured as the difference between two magnitudes. A moneyline counts as moved when either side of it differs, and no arithmetic is done on that difference: american prices are discontinuous across 100, so a cents figure spanning that boundary would not mean what it reads as.
- The July table compares today against our own Jul 19, 2026 report, which was rendered from the same feed with the same consensus definition. Its 22 named games are the whole comparison set, and only 7 of them are Week 1 games. Games that report did not name have no published July number, so the table is not a claim about all 75 games in that window.
- No figure on this page was recomputed from the archive behind the board, so nothing here can disagree with the page it came from. The board moves through the day, which makes every number above a dated snapshot rather than a live quote: the board itself carries the current one.
Next steps
Frequently asked questions
Have the NFL Week 1 2026 lines moved?
The totals have and most of the spreads have not. Between 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET and 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET, 10 of the 16 Week 1 totals changed and 13 of the 16 spreads did not, with a median total move of 1 point and a median spread move of zero. Neither number has moved on 5 of the 16 games.
Which NFL Week 1 favorite has changed?
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans. Our board had HOU favored by 1 at 2026-08-16 06:20 PM ET and has BUF favored by 1.5 at 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET, a move of 2.5 points that carried the number from one side to the other. It is the only side change among the 16 Week 1 games over those 16 days.
When is NFL Week 1 in 2026?
On our board Week 1 runs Wednesday, Sep 9 to Monday, Sep 14, 2026. It opens with New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks at 8:15 PM ET, carries 13 games on Sunday, Sep 13, and closes with Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs on Monday, Sep 14.
What is the widest spread in NFL Week 1 2026?
Los Angeles Chargers by 10.5 over Arizona Cardinals, with a total of 47.5 and a moneyline of −550 on the home side, as of 2026-09-01 06:20 PM ET. The closest game on the board is Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans at 1.5.
Is the consensus line the price I will get?
No. The consensus is the median across the 8 books our board carries for Week 1, so it can sit between two posted numbers and no book is obliged to offer it. The board also lists the best posted price per side, and your own sportsbook is the only number you can actually take.
Does Nebula Insights publish a pick on these games?
No. This page reports the market's own numbers with the date they were read attached. We publish no picks, no selections and no recommended wagers, here or anywhere on the site.
Related: NFL odds board · NFL team reports · How to read NFL odds · NFL key numbers · How often lines move
Every number on this page is the market's own: the consensus spread, total and moneyline the sportsbooks on our board have posted, with the date they were read attached. Nebula Insights publishes no picks, no selections and no recommended wagers, and a total being high or a spread being wide is a fact about the market, not a recommendation. Posted lines move; the live board carries the current number. You must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction.