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NFL opening lines: the biggest numbers on the board

75 games, Sep 9–Oct 11, 2026 · consensus of up to 8 books · as of Jul 19, 2026

Factual market observation, not advice. Everything below is the market's own number — the consensus total, spread and moneyline the books have posted. We publish no pick, lean or projection on this page; a total being high or a spread being wide is a fact about the market, not a recommendation.

The board at a glance

Consensus market numbers · as of Jul 19, 2026
Highest total
52.5
DET @ BUF
Lowest total
38.5
NYJ @ TEN
Average total
45.8
75 games w/ a total
Widest spread
11.5
SF over ARI
Closest game
1.5
BUF @ HOU
near a pick'em
Games on board
75
Sep 9–Oct 11, 2026

Highest totals on the board

Where the market expects the most scoring
GameKickoffTotalSpread
DET @ BUF09/17 08:15 PM52.5BUF −3
TB @ DAL10/08 08:15 PM52.5DAL −3.5
TB @ CIN09/13 01:00 PM51.5CIN −3.5
WAS @ DAL09/20 04:25 PM51.5DAL −4.5
JAX @ CIN10/04 01:00 PM51.5CIN −2.5
BAL @ DAL09/27 04:25 PM51BAL −2.5

Widest spreads on the board

The market's biggest mismatches
FavoriteKickoffSpreadFav MLTotal
SF over ARI09/27 04:05 PM11.5-57546.5
LAC over ARI09/13 04:25 PM10.5-60046.5
SF over MIA09/20 04:25 PM10.5-53546.5
SEA over ARI09/20 04:25 PM10-48544.5
LAR over NYG09/21 08:15 PM9.5-41047.5
DET over NYJ09/27 01:00 PM9.5-44045.5

Lowest totals on the board

The market's expected grind-it-out games
GameKickoffTotalSpread
NYJ @ TEN09/13 01:00 PM38.5TEN −2.5
CLE @ JAX09/13 01:00 PM40.5JAX −7.5
MIA @ LV09/13 04:25 PM40.5LV −3.5
CAR @ CLE09/27 01:00 PM40.5CAR −2.5
CLE @ NYJ10/11 01:00 PM40.5NYJ −2.5

Closest games (near a pick'em)

Where the market sees two even teams
GameKickoffSpreadTotal
BUF @ HOU09/13 01:00 PM1.544.5
GB @ MIN09/13 04:25 PM1.545.5
CAR @ ATL09/20 01:00 PM1.543.5
CIN @ PIT09/27 01:00 PM1.547.5
NE @ JAX09/27 01:00 PM1.545.5

Notes from the board

Factual observations · no advice
  • The average posted total across the board is 45.8 points, over 75 games with a total up.
  • The gap between the highest total (52.5, DET @ BUF) and the lowest (38.5, NYJ @ TEN) is 14 points.
  • The market's widest number has SF favored by 11.5 over ARI.
  • 11 of 75 games opened at 1.5 points or closer — effectively coin-flip spreads.

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