Market arithmetic, not picks. Fair value here is a
market number, not a model output: it is what the books themselves imply once each one's margin is removed from its own two prices on the same bet. No projection of ours touches this page. A price above fair is a statement about
one book versus the other books, never about the outcome of a game, and nothing here is a bet recommendation. Prices move constantly and this is a snapshot, so check the book before acting on any figure. We take no affiliate money and link to no sportsbook. New here? Start with
what fair value means.
MLB price vs fair, 2026-09-05 slate
Snapshot as of 2026-09-05 07:00 PM ET (the feed's own stamp)
| Measure | Value |
| Sides measured | 332 |
| Games / prop sides | 152 / 180 |
| Median price vs fair | -3.299% |
| Best side vs fair | 1.232% |
| Sides at or above fair | 9 |
| Books compared | 11 |
| Book | Sides | Median vs fair | Best vs fair | At/above fair |
| LowVig.ag | 102 | -2.984% | -0.318% | 0 |
| BetUS | 54 | -3.469% | -0.775% | 0 |
| MyBookie.ag | 58 | -4.01% | -0.117% | 0 |
| FanDuel | 152 | -4.495% | -0.725% | 0 |
| BetRivers | 68 | -4.799% | 0.941% | 4 |
| Caesars | 270 | -4.996% | 0.034% | 1 |
| Fanatics | 102 | -5.165% | -1.379% | 0 |
| BetOnline.ag | 276 | -5.179% | -0.783% | 0 |
| DraftKings | 300 | -5.198% | 0.501% | 1 |
| BetMGM | 290 | -5.212% | 1.232% | 4 |
| Bovada | 272 | -5.377% | -0.775% | 0 |
Fair here is the devigged consensus the producer computes across books on the same line; negative means the posted price pays less than that consensus. A full side-by-side table renders in the live view. Information, not picks. This table is a static snapshot written into the page at generation time from the same published feed the in-browser view reads; when scripts run, the live view replaces it in place. Posted lines move.
Method, stated plainly
Fair value is the median devigged probability across all books quoting the same market at the same posted number. Each book's margin is removed from its own two prices before the median is taken, so the comparison basis is built from the market and nothing else. A side needs at least four books posting both sides of its own number before it carries a fair value at all: a median over two books is not a consensus, and a list ranked on noisy fair values would surface exactly the sides where our own estimate is worst.
Price vs fair compares the best available price with that consensus number: (decimal odds x fair probability - 1) x 100, in percent. This is market arithmetic, not a model, and not betting advice. Nothing on this page is a pick. Totals and props are compared only within the same posted number, never across numbers, because Over 8 and Over 8.5 are different bets. A book's own quote is one of the quotes in the consensus it is measured against, which makes every positive number here slightly conservative.
What is missing, and why. Markets where books post only one side cannot appear at all: with a single price there is no margin to remove and no fair value to compare against. MLB home run props are the standing example, measured at 1,528 Over rows and zero Under rows across our own archive on 14 August 2026. Sides quoted by fewer than four books are counted in the diagnostics below rather than shown. Quotes from a book that has stopped refreshing with the rest of the board are excluded before anything is ranked, because a ranking is a maximum and a stale price is exactly the shape that wins one.
Prices come from our own odds archive, are published by a committed script over a read-only database session, and cost no additional data purchase: they were already bought by the board capture. Read more in what fair value means in betting odds, how sportsbooks price parlays, why most +EV tools mislead and the leaderboard of props priced above fair.
More MLB surfaces: the props board, pitcher strikeout projections, the per-book grid, line movement on the MLB board, the leaderboards and the graded track record.
What this page is
A comparison between what a sportsbook is paying and what the rest of the market says the same bet is worth. It is line shopping with the arithmetic shown, over every lined side we hold rather than a curated handful.
What it is not
It is not a list of bets to make. A positive number is a fact about pricing, not about the game, and it does not survive the moment a book moves its number. We publish no picks, no ratings and no model number on this page.
See the raw prices
The same board without any arithmetic on top: every book's posted moneyline, run line and total, side by side, on the MLB odds comparison grid.
What happens when you combine them
Each price carries its own margin, and combining prices multiplies the margins together. The parlay board prices every cross-game combination at the book that would take the whole ticket, against the same consensus fair. How sportsbooks price parlays shows what that costs, measured.
One team, one player
The same fair values appear on each MLB team page for that club's own markets, and on each MLB player page for that player's props. Same feed, same numbers.