MLB · Lines & Projections

MLB Lines & Projections

The opening market lines, our independent model projection, and factual season trends — today's slate

Information, not picks. The projected total is our model's independent pre-game estimate of total runs — built only from team, pitcher, park and schedule data, never from betting lines — shown beside the market's opening number for context. It is not a bet recommendation, and we don't publish one. Run line and total are opening lines; live prices move.

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Our totals projection has averaged within ~3.5 runs of final scores since 2021; the market's opening line averages ~3.46 on the same games. We publish both because that's the honest state of the art — what we offer is an independent second opinion, and a public track record you can check.