MLB opening lines and model projections, 2026-08-28
Snapshot as of Aug 28, 10:12 AM ET (the feed's own stamp)
| Matchup (probables) | Opening total | Opening run line | Opening ML (away / home) | Model projected total | Model win % (away / home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays | O/U 7.5 | TB -1.5 | +118 / -128 | 8.8 | 49% / 51% |
| Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals | O/U 8.5 | MIA -1.5 | -150 / +137 | 9.1 | 50% / 50% |
| Houston Astros @ New York Mets | O/U 8.0 | HOU -1.5 | -124 / +112 | 8.9 | 47% / 53% |
| Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | O/U 7.5 | NYY -1.5 | +143 / -158 | 8.5 | 47% / 53% |
| Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays | O/U 7.5 | TOR -1.5 | +158 / -175 | 8.5 | 48% / 52% |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels | O/U 8.0 | PHI -1.5 | -144 / +118 | 8.3 | 51% / 49% |
| Texas Rangers @ Milwaukee Brewers | O/U 7.5 | MIL -1.5 | +158 / -174 | 8.5 | 45% / 55% |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins | O/U 8.5 | CWS -1.5 | +104 / -114 | 9.2 | 47% / 53% |
| Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves | O/U 9.0 | ATL -1.5 | +200 / -223 | 8.9 | 40% / 60% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals | O/U 7.5 | PIT -1.5 | -112 / +100 | 8.9 | 48% / 52% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | O/U 7.5 | ARI -1.5 | -130 / +108 | 8.7 | 50% / 50% |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs | O/U 8.5 | CHC -1.5 | +168 / -184 | 8.9 | 45% / 55% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers | O/U 7.5 | LAD -1.5 | -216 / +194 | 8.8 | 51% / 49% |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Athletics | O/U 9.5 | BAL -1.5 | -149 / +123 | 10.1 | 51% / 49% |
| Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians | O/U 7.5 | CLE -1.5 | +118 / -130 | 8.5 | 49% / 51% |
Opening to now, from our own captures
| Game | Start (ET) | ML open to now (away / home) | Total open to now | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres @ Rays | 08/28 07:11 PM ET | +118 to +112 / -128 to -123 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 9 |
| Astros @ Mets | 08/28 07:11 PM ET | -124 to -106 / +112 to -102 | 8.0 to 7.5 | 9 |
| Royals @ Guardians | 08/28 07:11 PM ET | +118 to +120 / -130 to -130 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 9 |
| Red Sox @ Yankees | 08/28 07:16 PM ET | +143 to +138 / -158 to -152 | 7.5 to 7.0 | 9 |
| Mariners @ Blue Jays | 08/28 07:16 PM ET | +158 to +130 / -175 to -141 | 7.5 to 7.0 | 9 |
| Rockies @ Braves | 08/28 07:16 PM ET | +200 to +198 / -223 to -216 | 9.0 to 9.0 | 9 |
| Rangers @ Brewers | 08/28 07:41 PM ET | +158 to +185 / -174 to -205 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 9 |
| White Sox @ Twins | 08/28 08:11 PM ET | +104 to +116 / -114 to -126 | 8.5 to 8.5 | 9 |
| Pirates @ Cardinals | 08/28 08:16 PM ET | -112 to -113 / +100 to +104 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 9 |
| Phillies @ Angels | 08/28 09:39 PM ET | -144 to -116 / +118 to +107 | 8.0 to 7.5 | 9 |
| Orioles @ Athletics | 08/28 09:41 PM ET | -149 to -108 / +123 to -104 | 9.5 to 9.5 | 9 |
| D-backs @ Giants | 08/28 10:16 PM ET | -130 to -114 / +108 to +105 | 7.5 to 8.0 | 9 |
| Dodgers @ Tigers | 08/29 01:11 PM ET | -185 to -185 / +148 to +150 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 5 |
| White Sox @ Twins | 08/29 02:11 PM ET | -102 to -102 / -120 to -120 | 9.0 to 9.0 | 4 |
| Reds @ Cubs | 08/29 02:21 PM ET | +154 to +154 / -190 to -190 | 8.5 to 8.5 | 5 |
| Marlins @ Nationals | 08/29 04:06 PM ET | -110 to -110 / -112 to -112 | 8.0 to 8.0 | 5 |
| Padres @ Rays | 08/29 04:11 PM ET | +110 to +110 / -135 to -135 | 7.0 to 7.5 | 5 |
| Royals @ Guardians | 08/29 04:11 PM ET | +128 to +128 / -160 to -160 | 8.0 to 8.0 | 5 |
| Rockies @ Braves | 08/29 04:11 PM ET | +184 to +180 / -225 to -225 | 9.0 to 9.0 | 5 |
| Rangers @ Brewers | 08/29 07:16 PM ET | +136 to +136 / -170 to -170 | 7.5 to 7.5 | 5 |
| Phillies @ Angels | 08/29 10:08 PM ET | -250 to -250 / +190 to +190 | 8.0 to 8.0 | 5 |
15 games on the 2026-08-28 slate. Run line, total and moneyline are the market's opening numbers; the projected total and win probability are our model's independent estimates, shown beside them for context. A move is two prices at two capture times; we publish what changed, never a reading of why it changed. Information, not picks. This table is a static snapshot written into the page at generation time from the same published feed the in-browser view reads; when scripts run, the live view replaces it in place. Posted lines move.