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Seth Lugo

Starting pitcher, KC. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-15 · team report
2026 starts
23
127.8 innings
ERA
4.15
Strikeouts
101
7.1 per 9
Walks
44

Advanced profile

Percentile among 527 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-08-12 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
16.7%
9
CSW rate
25.7%
28
xwOBA against
0.395
51
Hard-hit against
27.2%
37

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
012345678at TEX05-30at MIN06-04vs TEX06-10vs STL06-19vs TB07-01at NYM07-07at BAL07-12vs SD07-17vs SF07-22at MIN07-28at COL08-02vs CHC08-08

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts11–114.454.6422
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams4–35.144.937
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams2–14.04.173
Home7–54.424.5812
Away4–64.54.710
Last 53–24.24.55

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-08vs CHC6.054.51313%0.330
2026-08-02at COL5.034.55521%0.296
2026-07-28at MIN6.024.5219%0.307
2026-07-22vs SF7.054.52321%0.309
2026-07-17vs SD6.032115%0.356
2026-07-12at BAL4.064.52229%0.531
2026-07-07at NYM4.144.52616%0.458
2026-07-01vs TB6.073.50317%0.491
2026-06-19vs STL6.004.5316%0.234
2026-06-10vs TEX3.124.51124%0.403
2026-06-04at MIN5.044.51521%0.541
2026-05-30at TEX6.064.50121%0.326

Ballpark

K per start, home
4.3
13 starts
K per start, away
4.5
10 starts
Park K factor
91.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.

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