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Mitch Keller

Starting pitcher, PIT. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-15 · team report
2026 starts
21
107.8 innings
ERA
5.43
Strikeouts
85
7.1 per 9
Walks
41

Advanced profile

Percentile among 527 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-08-12 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
18.4%
18
CSW rate
24.9%
18
xwOBA against
0.400
49
Hard-hit against
26.1%
45

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
012345678at STL05-19at TOR05-24vs MIN05-30at ATL06-05vs LAD06-11at OAK06-16vs SEA06-23at WSH07-03vs ATL07-09at NYY07-22vs AZ07-27at CIN08-02

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts8–124.054.3520
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams3–25.04.35
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams3–34.04.336
Home4–64.04.410
Away4–64.14.310
Last 52–33.23.95

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-02at CIN2.024.54716%0.772
2026-07-27vs AZ5.143.5129%0.297
2026-07-22at NYY5.063.52037%0.284
2026-07-09vs ATL3.034.52316%0.381
2026-07-03at WSH6.013.5059%0.527
2026-06-23vs SEA6.044.51322%0.351
2026-06-16at OAK5.174.54120%0.406
2026-06-11vs LAD4.034.54510%0.521
2026-06-05at ATL4.244.53617%0.403
2026-05-30vs MIN4.054.51721%0.464
2026-05-24at TOR6.054.53122%0.306
2026-05-19at STL5.234.51414%0.334

Ballpark

K per start, home
4.0
11 starts
K per start, away
4.1
10 starts
Park K factor
100.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.

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