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Michael Lorenzen

Starting pitcher, COL. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-15 · team report
2026 starts
24
106.8 innings
ERA
7.33
Strikeouts
81
6.8 per 9
Walks
46

Advanced profile

Percentile among 527 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-08-12 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
17.4%
12
CSW rate
24.9%
17
xwOBA against
0.397
50
Hard-hit against
30.0%
23

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
012345678at LAA06-03vs CHC06-10at CHC06-15vs PIT06-21at MIN06-27vs MIA07-02at LAD07-07at SF07-12vs WSH07-21at SD07-28vs TB08-03at STL08-09

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts11–123.353.7223
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams6–14.863.937
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams4–82.673.512
Home5–63.273.5911
Away6–63.423.8312
Last 51–41.83.55

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Next start

2026-08-15 · away
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

From the official probable-starter feed; probables can change. Information, never a recommendation.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-09at STL4.113.53212%0.496
2026-08-03vs TB3.003.5379%0.502
2026-07-28at SD4.023.51319%0.375
2026-07-21vs WSH3.253.51612%0.469
2026-07-12at SF5.013.5317%0.391
2026-07-07at LAD6.053.53220%0.303
2026-07-02vs MIA4.113.56416%0.279
2026-06-27at MIN5.214.502
2026-06-21vs PIT5.153.51410%0.401
2026-06-15at CHC5.053.51117%0.373
2026-06-10vs CHC5.073.52125%0.147
2026-06-03at LAA3.154.52822%0.569

Ballpark

K per start, home
3.3
11 starts
K per start, away
3.5
13 starts
Park K factor
89.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.

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