Starting pitcher, CHC. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.
Percentile among 527 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-08-12 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate 17.5%13
CSW rate 25.3%23
xwOBA against 0.40647
Hard-hit against 26.4%43
Strikeouts vs the prop line
Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
Conditioned record vs the line
Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
Split
O–U
Avg K
Avg line
n
All lined starts
9–10
3.95
4.18
19
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams
5–3
4.5
4.62
8
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams
3–4
3.71
3.79
7
Home
7–3
4.9
4.3
10
Away
2–7
2.89
4.06
9
Last 5
3–2
4.4
4.3
5
Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.
Start log
Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
Date
Opp
IP
K
K line
BB
ER
Whiff
xwOBA
2026-08-02
vs NYY
6.0
7
5.5
1
2
16%
0.365
2026-07-28
at STL
6.0
2
3.5
2
1
8%
0.331
2026-07-22
vs DET
5.0
5
4.5
1
4
13%
0.556
2026-07-17
vs MIN
6.0
6
3.5
1
3
27%
0.265
2026-07-08
at BAL
5.1
2
4.5
2
3
9%
0.486
2026-07-01
vs SD
5.0
5
3.5
3
2
21%
0.426
2026-06-26
at MIL
5.0
4
4.5
3
1
2026-06-20
vs TOR
5.1
3
3.5
0
0
15%
0.266
2026-06-09
at COL
4.2
2
3.5
3
7
12%
0.494
2026-06-03
vs OAK
5.1
3
4.5
2
2
21%
0.471
2026-05-28
at PIT
5.1
5
4.5
3
2
18%
0.346
2026-05-23
vs HOU
7.0
4
4.5
3
3
30%
0.334
Ballpark
K per start, home
4.9
10 starts
K per start, away
2.9
9 starts
Park K factor
103.00
2025 season, home park
Where these numbers come from
Game logs and season line. Our own game archive, updated daily from the official league feed.
Advanced metrics. Our pitch-tracking table, 2026 season through 2026-08-12; percentiles computed against all qualified starters in the same window. Blank cells mean the game postdates the window, and we leave them blank rather than estimate.
Prop lines. Our odds archive: each book's earliest recorded capture that morning, median across quoting books. Openers, never closers.
Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.
Get the weekly projections recap
How our projections did against the market — one email a week. No picks, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
We store only your email to send the recap. Analytics, not picks — nothing here is betting advice.
Get the weekly projections recap
How our projections did against the market — one email a week. No picks, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
We store only your email to send the recap. Analytics, not picks — nothing here is betting advice.