RB, Arizona Cardinals. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.
Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.
Matchup context
The game Arizona Cardinals plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 7
Week 1 · Sunday, September 13 · 4:25 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers
SoFi Stadium · matrixturf · dome
Allgeier is with the Cardinals now, and he walks into a more pass-heavy offense: they threw on 66 percent of their plays last season, 1st of 32, against 54 percent and 21st for the Falcons. He has not played a game for them, so the club figures below are the Cardinals' and his own are what he did with the Falcons. Allgeier was 2nd on the Falcons in rushing attempts in 2025, with 143 of the 477 they called in the 17 regular season games he played. He is listed at 5-10 and 225 pounds, shorter than 68 percent of the 197 running backs on a 2026 roster and heavier than 77 percent of them. The 17 defenses on the Cardinals' 2026 schedule gave up 114.8 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 the Falcons met gave up 117.7.
Rushing matchup
What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Los Angeles Chargers defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game8th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed105.4yds
Rushing attempts faced per game6th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced24.5att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt18th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed4.31yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game16th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.94TD
Arizona Cardinals offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game32nd of 32 · 1st = most21.5att
Rushing yards per game31st of 32 · 1st = most93.1yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage1st of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy66%
Yards per rushing attempt16th of 32 · 1st = most4.33yds
Tyler Allgeier
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game8.4att
Rushing yards per game30.2yds
Yards per carry3.59yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts30%
Offensive snap share30%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Touchdown matchup
Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Los Angeles Chargers defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game4th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.88TD
Points allowed per game9th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed20.0
Arizona Cardinals offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game20th of 32 · 1st = most2.24TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.
Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.
Record against the posted line, by market
Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
Market
Lined games
Over-Under
Over rate
Avg line
Avg result
Last line seen
Window
Rushing yards
25
11-14
44% of 25
33.7
34.7
24.5 (2025-12-29)
2023-09-24 to 2025-12-29
Anytime touchdown
47
13 of 47
28%
32% implied
13 scored, 15 implied
40% implied (2026-01-04)
2023-09-10 to 2026-01-04
Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.
Where that record came from
Rushing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
Split
Over-Under
Rate
Avg line
n
All lined games
11-14
44%
33.7
25
Home
6-6
50%
33.2
12
Away
5-8
38%
34.1
13
2025 season
2-4
33%
29.8
6
2024 season
3-6
33%
35.6
9
2023 season
6-4
60%
34.3
10
Game by game
Rushing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
Date
Opp
Line
Result
Graded
Books
2025-12-29
vs LA
24.5
23
under
1
2025-12-07
vs SEA
24.5
34
over
1
2025-11-02
at NE
24.5
6
under
2
2025-10-26
vs MIA
40.5
4
under
7
2025-09-21
at CAR
39.5
4
under
1
2025-09-14
at MIN
25.5
76
over
3
2025-01-05
vs CAR
32.5
52
over
3
2024-12-22
vs NYG
33.5
22
under
4
2024-11-17
at DEN
30.5
0
under
2
2024-11-10
at NO
38.5
59
over
5
2024-11-03
vs DAL
41.5
18
under
6
2024-10-27
at TB
37.5
33
under
5
2024-10-20
vs SEA
37.5
36
under
3
2024-10-13
at CAR
37.5
105
over
5
Season totals behind those lines
Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
Season
Games
Rushing yards
Games with a TD
2025
17
514 (30.2/gm)
7 of 17
2024
17
644 (37.9/gm)
3 of 17
2023
17
683 (40.2/gm)
4 of 17
Tracking profile
2025 season · percentile = the share of the 37 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Rush yards over expected per attempt -0.0216
Rush yards per attempt 3.638
Runs against 8+ in the box 25.7%51
Time to the line of scrimmage 2.90s70
This week's line
Not published on this page yet
What is here. Every record on this page is measured against lines our archive actually recorded, through the end of the 2025 season.
What is not. A current week's number. Our live NFL prop capture covers two markets on a weekly schedule, which is not enough to post a number for every market above, so we post none of them rather than a partial set. When the capture widens, this block fills in and says which week it is reading.
Where these numbers come from
Results. Our own NFL game logs, refreshed weekly from the free nflverse release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), matched to the league schedule for the season, the opponent and the home side. The rates, shares and ranks on this page are our own calculations over that data, not figures the source publishes.
Lines. Our odds archive, 2023 season onward. For each game we take every book's earliest recorded number and publish the median across them, so these are opening lines, never closing ones. Our archive is a fixed-hour grid and cannot honestly claim a close.
Which games count. A game counts only when a line we recorded lines up with a game he actually played, matched through the two clubs in that game. A prop on a player who was later ruled out has no result, so it is not in any denominator here.
Tracking profile. The league's own tracking data for the 2025 season, compared against every player it qualified at his position. The size of that group is printed on the block.
Rosters and listed size. The weekly rosters from the same release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), refreshed daily in season. They supply the club a player is on, his roster status, and the height and weight his club lists him at. The date they were last checked is printed at the top of the matchup section.
On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.
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