QB, Jacksonville Jaguars. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.
Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.
Matchup context
The game Jacksonville Jaguars plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 28
Week 4 · Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
Paycor Stadium · fieldturf · outdoor
Lawrence threw 560 of the 563 pass attempts the Jaguars made in the 17 regular season games he played in 2025. He is listed at 6-6 and 220 pounds, taller than 98 percent of the 118 quarterbacks on a 2026 roster and heavier than 52 percent of them. He held the ball 2.86 seconds before throwing, longer than 59 percent of the 32 passers the league's tracking data qualified in 2025. The 17 defenses on the Jaguars' 2026 schedule gave up 235.4 passing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 228.1.
Passing matchup
What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how often his offense throws, and what he has done with it
Cincinnati Bengals defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Passing yards allowed per game25th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed245.6yds
Pass attempts faced per game15th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced31.4att
Completion rate allowed19th of 32 · 1st = lowest allowed65.2%
Passing touchdowns allowed per game29th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.94TD
Sacks made per game23rd of 32 · 1st = most2.00
Interceptions made per game11th of 32 · 1st = most0.76
Jacksonville Jaguars offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game14th of 32 · 1st = most33.1att
Passing yards per game11th of 32 · 1st = most236.8yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage19th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy55%
Sacks taken per game20th of 32 · 1st = fewest2.41
Air yards per pass attempt5th of 32 · 1st = most8.67yds
Trevor Lawrence
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game32.9att
Passing yards per game235.7yds
Completion rate60.9%
Yards per pass attempt7.16yds
Sacks taken per game2.41
Sacks credited to their defenders. It is not always the same count as the sacks their opponents were charged with allowing.Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Rushing matchup
What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Cincinnati Bengals defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game32nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed147.1yds
Rushing attempts faced per game24th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced28.2att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt31st of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed5.22yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game20th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.06TD
Jacksonville Jaguars offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game8th of 32 · 1st = most28.8att
Rushing yards per game20th of 32 · 1st = most115.1yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage19th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy55%
Yards per rushing attempt27th of 32 · 1st = most4.00yds
Trevor Lawrence
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game4.8att
Rushing yards per game21.1yds
Yards per carry4.38yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts17%
Offensive snap share97%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Touchdown matchup
Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Cincinnati Bengals defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game28th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed3.00TD
Points allowed per game30th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed28.9
Jacksonville Jaguars offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game6th of 32 · 1st = most3.00TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.
Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.
Record against the posted line, by market
Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
Market
Lined games
Over-Under
Over rate
Avg line
Avg result
Last line seen
Window
Interceptions thrown
46
26-20
57% of 46
0.50
0.74
0.5 (2026-09-27)
2023-09-10 to 2026-09-27
Passing yards
42
23-19
55% of 42
232.4
238.3
226.5 (2026-09-27)
2023-09-10 to 2026-09-27
Passing touchdowns
40
20-20
50% of 40
1.50
1.62
1.5 (2026-09-27)
2023-09-10 to 2026-09-27
Completions
20
10-10
50% of 20
20.7
20.2
19.5 (2026-01-11)
2023-10-01 to 2026-01-11
Pass attempts
20
9-11
45% of 20
32.9
33.6
32.5 (2026-01-11)
2023-10-01 to 2026-01-11
Anytime touchdown
40
8 of 40
20%
21% implied
8 scored, 9 implied
25% implied (2026-09-27)
2023-09-17 to 2026-09-27
Rushing yards
25
10-15
40% of 25
15.1
17.2
15.5 (2026-09-27)
2023-09-24 to 2026-09-27
Rush attempts
10
6-4
60% of 10
4.0
3.8
5.5 (2026-01-11)
2023-12-04 to 2026-01-11
Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.
Where that record came from
Passing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
Split
Over-Under
Rate
Avg line
n
All lined games
23-19
55%
232.4
42
Home
13-11
54%
233.5
24
Away
10-8
56%
230.9
18
2026 season
1-2
33%
226.8
3
2025 season
11-7
61%
225.4
18
2024 season
3-5
38%
232.9
8
2023 season
8-5
62%
243.0
13
Game by game
Passing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
Date
Opp
Line
Result
Graded
Books
2026-09-27
vs NE
226.5
182
under
7
2026-09-20
at DEN
220.5
189
under
7
2026-09-13
vs CLE
233.5
245
over
7
2026-01-11
vs BUF
227.5
207
under
6
2026-01-04
vs TEN
241.5
255
over
5
2025-12-28
at IND
229.5
263
over
1
2025-12-21
at DEN
222.5
279
over
4
2025-12-14
vs NYJ
218.5
330
over
7
2025-12-07
vs IND
220.5
244
over
5
2025-11-30
at TEN
216.5
229
over
6
2025-11-23
at ARI
217.5
256
over
1
2025-11-16
vs LAC
208.5
153
under
2
2025-11-09
at HOU
205.5
158
under
4
2025-11-02
at LV
232.5
220
under
1
Season totals behind those lines
Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
Season
Games
Interceptions thrown
Passing yards
Passing touchdowns
Completions
Pass attempts
Rushing yards
Rush attempts
Games with a TD
2026
3
2 (0.67/gm)
616 (205.3/gm)
7 (2.33/gm)
54 (18.0/gm)
81 (27.0/gm)
34 (11.3/gm)
8 (2.7/gm)
0 of 3
2025
18
14 (0.78/gm)
4,214 (234.1/gm)
32 (1.78/gm)
359 (19.9/gm)
590 (32.8/gm)
390 (21.7/gm)
88 (4.9/gm)
6 of 18
2024
10
7 (0.70/gm)
2,045 (204.5/gm)
11 (1.10/gm)
172 (17.2/gm)
284 (28.4/gm)
119 (11.9/gm)
26 (2.6/gm)
2 of 10
2023
16
14 (0.88/gm)
4,016 (251.0/gm)
21 (1.31/gm)
370 (23.1/gm)
564 (35.2/gm)
339 (21.2/gm)
70 (4.4/gm)
3 of 16
Tracking profile
2025 season · percentile = the share of the 32 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Completion % above expectation -2.1pts25
Passer rating 91.147
Intended air yards per attempt 9.088
Time to throw 2.86s59
This week's line
Not published on this page yet
What is here. Every record on this page is measured against lines our archive actually recorded, through the end of the 2025 season.
What is not. A current week's number. Our live NFL prop capture covers two markets on a weekly schedule, which is not enough to post a number for every market above, so we post none of them rather than a partial set. When the capture widens, this block fills in and says which week it is reading.
Where these numbers come from
Results. Our own NFL game logs, refreshed weekly from the free nflverse release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), matched to the league schedule for the season, the opponent and the home side. The rates, shares and ranks on this page are our own calculations over that data, not figures the source publishes.
Lines. Our odds archive, 2023 season onward. For each game we take every book's earliest recorded number and publish the median across them, so these are opening lines, never closing ones. Our archive is a fixed-hour grid and cannot honestly claim a close.
Which games count. A game counts only when a line we recorded lines up with a game he actually played, matched through the two clubs in that game. A prop on a player who was later ruled out has no result, so it is not in any denominator here.
Tracking profile. The league's own tracking data for the 2025 season, compared against every player it qualified at his position. The size of that group is printed on the block.
Rosters and listed size. The weekly rosters from the same release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), refreshed daily in season. They supply the club a player is on, his roster status, and the height and weight his club lists him at. The date they were last checked is printed at the top of the matchup section.
On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.
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