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Saquon Barkley

RB, Philadelphia Eagles. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-09-28 · team report
Lined games
53
2023-09-10 to 2026-09-20
Markets priced
5
189 graded market-games
Rushing yards, over rate
51%
24-23
47 decided of 47 lined
Games played
53
in our archive window

Rushing yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
02040608010088at KC'25 W243at TBW430vs DENW558at NYGW644at MINW760at GBW1083vs DETW1122at DALW1256vs CHIW1378vs LVW1568at BUFW17106vs SFWC83vs WAS'26 W19at TENW2

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Matchup context

The game Philadelphia Eagles plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 28
Week 3 · Monday, September 28 · 8:15 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Soldier Field · grass · outdoor

No one on the Eagles saw more rushing attempts than Barkley in 2025: 280 of the 459 they called in the 16 regular season games he played. He is listed at 6-0 and 233 pounds, taller than 72 percent of the 201 running backs on a 2026 roster and heavier than 89 percent of them. He ran into eight or more defenders in the box on 29.2 percent of his carries, a stacked box more often than 65 percent of the 37 backs the league's tracking data qualified in 2025. The 17 defenses on the Eagles' 2026 schedule gave up 119.4 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 122.4.

Rushing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Chicago Bears defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game27th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed134.5yds
Rushing attempts faced per game18th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced26.9att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt29th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed5.00yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game14th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.88TD
Philadelphia Eagles offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game11th of 32 · 1st = most28.1att
Rushing yards per game18th of 32 · 1st = most116.9yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage27th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy53%
Yards per rushing attempt23rd of 32 · 1st = most4.16yds
Saquon Barkley
2025 regular season · 16 games
Rushing attempts per game17.5att
Rushing yards per game71.2yds
Yards per carry4.07yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts61%
Offensive snap share78%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Receiving matchup

What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how much his offense throws, and how much of that goes to him
Chicago Bears defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Passing yards allowed per game22nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed239.2yds
Completions allowed per game18th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed20.9
Yards allowed per completion27th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed11.46yds
Passing touchdowns allowed per game28th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.88TD
Philadelphia Eagles offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game24th of 32 · 1st = most29.2att
Passing yards per game23rd of 32 · 1st = most205.8yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage27th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy53%
Share of passing yards gained after the catch32nd of 32 · 1st = highest share39%
Saquon Barkley
2025 regular season · 16 games
Targets per game3.1
Receptions per game2.3
Receiving yards per game17.1yds
Catch rate74%
Share of his team's targets12%
Offensive snap share78%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His targets over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Touchdown matchup

Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Chicago Bears defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game24th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed2.76TD
Points allowed per game23rd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed24.4
Philadelphia Eagles offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game14th of 32 · 1st = most2.53TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.

Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
MarketLined gamesOver-UnderOver rateAvg lineAvg resultLast line seenWindow
Rushing yards4724-2351% of 4782.288.478.5 (2026-09-20)2023-09-10 to 2026-09-20
Rush attempts2817-1161% of 2818.920.419.5 (2025-12-28)2023-12-11 to 2025-12-28
Anytime touchdown5324 of 5345%56% implied24 scored, 30 implied52% implied (2026-09-20)2023-09-10 to 2026-09-20
Receiving yards3718-1949% of 3715.618.810.5 (2026-09-20)2023-09-10 to 2026-09-20
Receptions249-1538% of 242.462.291.5 (2026-09-20)2023-10-22 to 2026-09-20

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Where that record came from

Rushing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
SplitOver-UnderRateAvg linen
All lined games24-2351%82.247
Home14-1254%84.826
Away10-1148%79.021
2026 season1-150%77.02
2025 season2-1115%81.313
2024 season14-574%93.819
2023 season7-654%67.013

Game by game

Rushing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
DateOppLineResultGradedBooks
2026-09-20at TEN78.59under6
2026-09-13vs WAS75.583over6
2026-01-11vs SF86.5106over1
2025-12-28at BUF85.568under5
2025-12-14vs LV84.578under1
2025-11-28vs CHI76.556under6
2025-11-23at DAL79.522under7
2025-11-16vs DET70.583over6
2025-11-10at GB76.560under1
2025-10-19at MIN70.544under2
2025-10-09at NYG82.558under6
2025-10-05vs DEN83.530under3
2025-09-28at TB81.543under7
2025-09-14at KC89.588under2

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
SeasonGamesRushing yardsRush attemptsReceiving yardsReceptionsGames with a TD
2026292 (46.0/gm)19 (9.5/gm)8 (4.0/gm)2 (1.00/gm)0 of 2
2025171,246 (73.3/gm)306 (18.0/gm)298 (17.5/gm)40 (2.35/gm)8 of 17
2024202,504 (125.2/gm)436 (21.8/gm)353 (17.6/gm)46 (2.30/gm)10 of 20
202314962 (68.7/gm)247 (17.6/gm)280 (20.0/gm)41 (2.93/gm)6 of 14

Tracking profile

2025 season · percentile = the share of the 37 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Rush yards over expected per attempt
0.31
43
Rush yards per attempt
4.13
32
Runs against 8+ in the box
29.2%
65
Time to the line of scrimmage
2.97s
78

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

Where these numbers come from

On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.

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