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Sam Darnold

QB, Seattle Seahawks. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-09-07 · team report
Lined games
39
2024-01-07 to 2026-02-08
Markets priced
8
230 graded market-games
Passing yards, over rate
55%
21-17
38 decided of 38 lined
Games played
48
in our archive window

Passing yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
0100200300213vs HOU'25 W7330at WASW9178vs ARIW10279at LAW11244at TENW12128vs MINW13249at ATLW14271vs INDW15270vs LAW16147at CARW17198at SFW18124vs SFDIV346vs LACONF202at NESB

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Matchup context

The game Seattle Seahawks plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 7
Week 1 · Wednesday, September 9 · 8:20 PM ET
New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
Lumen Field · fieldturf · outdoor

Darnold threw 477 of the 481 pass attempts the Seahawks made in the 17 regular season games he played in 2025. He is listed at 6-3 and 225 pounds, taller than 61 percent of the 116 quarterbacks on a 2026 roster and heavier than 72 percent of them. He held the ball 2.84 seconds before throwing, quicker than 53 percent of the 32 passers the league's tracking data qualified in 2025. The 17 defenses on the Seahawks' 2026 schedule gave up 228.4 passing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 233.5.

Passing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how often his offense throws, and what he has done with it
New England Patriots defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Passing yards allowed per game9th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed206.6yds
Pass attempts faced per game12th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced31.0att
Completion rate allowed24th of 32 · 1st = lowest allowed66.4%
Passing touchdowns allowed per game14th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.47TD
Sacks made per game23rd of 32 · 1st = most2.00
Interceptions made per game18th of 32 · 1st = most0.59
Seattle Seahawks offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game29th of 32 · 1st = most28.3att
Passing yards per game9th of 32 · 1st = most239.0yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage30th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy50%
Sacks taken per game5th of 32 · 1st = fewest1.59
Air yards per pass attempt16th of 32 · 1st = most7.83yds
Sam Darnold
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game28.1att
Passing yards per game238.1yds
Completion rate67.7%
Yards per pass attempt8.49yds
Sacks taken per game1.59
Sacks credited to their defenders. It is not always the same count as the sacks their opponents were charged with allowing.Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Rushing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
New England Patriots defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game6th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed101.7yds
Rushing attempts faced per game5th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced24.2att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt13th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed4.21yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game4th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.65TD
Seattle Seahawks offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game3rd of 32 · 1st = most29.8att
Rushing yards per game10th of 32 · 1st = most123.3yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage30th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy50%
Yards per rushing attempt25th of 32 · 1st = most4.13yds
Sam Darnold
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game2.1att
Rushing yards per game5.6yds
Yards per carry2.71yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts7%
Offensive snap share96%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Touchdown matchup

Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
New England Patriots defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game9th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed2.12TD
Points allowed per game4th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed18.8
Seattle Seahawks offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game12th of 32 · 1st = most2.59TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.

Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
MarketLined gamesOver-UnderOver rateAvg lineAvg resultLast line seenWindow
Passing yards3821-1755% of 38236.6244.3227.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Interceptions thrown3819-1950% of 380.500.710.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Passing touchdowns3721-1657% of 371.471.781.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Completions2614-1254% of 2620.220.719.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Pass attempts2612-1446% of 2630.630.230.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Anytime touchdown352 of 356%15% implied2 scored, 5 implied10% implied (2026-02-08)2024-01-07 to 2026-02-08
Rushing yards206-1430% of 209.15.36.5 (2026-02-08)2024-09-08 to 2026-02-08
Rush attempts105-550% of 102.72.82.5 (2026-02-08)2024-11-03 to 2026-02-08

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Where that record came from

Passing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
SplitOver-UnderRateAvg linen
All lined games21-1755%236.638
Home10-953%236.219
Away11-858%237.019
2025 season12-860%230.420
2024 season9-950%243.518

Game by game

Passing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
DateOppLineResultGradedBooks
2026-02-08at NE227.5202under7
2026-01-25vs LA234.5346over7
2026-01-17vs SF236.5124under4
2026-01-03at SF236.5198under4
2025-12-28at CAR225.5147under5
2025-12-18vs LA224.5270over2
2025-12-14vs IND229.5271over6
2025-12-07at ATL231.5249over4
2025-11-30vs MIN233.5128under6
2025-11-23at TEN241.5244over3
2025-11-16at LA248.5279over5
2025-11-09vs ARI257.5178under6
2025-11-02at WAS241.5330over6
2025-10-20vs HOU232.5213under6

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
SeasonGamesPassing yardsInterceptions thrownPassing touchdownsCompletionsPass attemptsRushing yardsRush attemptsGames with a TD
2025204,720 (236.0/gm)14 (0.70/gm)30 (1.50/gm)379 (18.9/gm)568 (28.4/gm)109 (5.5/gm)40 (2.0/gm)0 of 20
2024184,564 (253.6/gm)13 (0.72/gm)36 (2.00/gm)386 (21.4/gm)585 (32.5/gm)231 (12.8/gm)71 (3.9/gm)1 of 18
202310297 (29.7/gm)1 (0.10/gm)2 (0.20/gm)28 (2.8/gm)46 (4.6/gm)15 (1.5/gm)21 (2.1/gm)1 of 10

Tracking profile

2025 season · percentile = the share of the 32 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Completion % above expectation
4.1pts
88
Passer rating
102.2
84
Intended air yards per attempt
8.4
72
Time to throw
2.84s
47

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

Where these numbers come from

On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.

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