Matthew Stafford

QB, Los Angeles Rams. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-08-16 · team report

Lined games

2023-09-10 to 2026-01-25

Markets priced

277 graded market-games

Passing yards, over rate

60%

32-21

53 decided of 53 lined

Games played

in our archive window

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything

Market	Lined games	Over-Under	Over rate	Avg line	Avg result	Last line seen	Window
Interceptions thrown	54	22-32	41% of 54	0.50	0.52	0.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-09-10 to 2026-01-25
Passing yards	53	32-21	60% of 53	249.0	266.0	255.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-09-10 to 2026-01-25
Passing touchdowns	53	28-25	53% of 53	1.71	1.87	1.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-09-10 to 2026-01-25
Completions	29	17-12	59% of 29	22.0	22.3	22.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-12-03 to 2026-01-25
Pass attempts	29	18-11	62% of 29	33.6	35.4	35.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-12-03 to 2026-01-25
Anytime touchdown	49	0 of 49	0%	8% implied	0 scored, 4 implied	4% implied (2026-01-25)	2023-09-10 to 2026-01-25
Rushing yards	10	5-5	50% of 10	1.0	4.7	0.5 (2026-01-25)	2023-10-22 to 2026-01-25

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Passing yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Where that record came from

Passing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline

Split	Over-Under	Rate	Avg line	n
All lined games	32-21	60%	249.0	53
Home	14-10	58%	248.8	24
Away	18-11	62%	249.1	29
2025 season	12-7	63%	253.7	19
2024 season	10-7	59%	240.6	17
2023 season	10-7	59%	252.1	17

Game by game

Passing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it

Date	Opp	Line	Result	Graded	Books
2026-01-25	at SEA	255.5	374	over	6
2026-01-18	at CHI	276.5	258	under	4
2026-01-10	at CAR	268.5	304	over	6
2026-01-04	vs ARI	266.5	259	under	1
2025-12-29	at ATL	262.5	269	over	2
2025-12-18	at SEA	225.5	457	over	2
2025-12-14	vs DET	264.5	368	over	5
2025-12-07	at ARI	256.5	281	over	5
2025-11-30	at CAR	249.5	243	under	7
2025-11-23	vs TB	249.5	273	over	7
2025-11-16	vs SEA	260.5	130	under	5
2025-11-09	at SF	261.5	280	over	6
2025-11-02	vs NO	259.5	281	over	1
2025-10-19	at JAX	250.5	182	under	1

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on

Season	Games	Interceptions thrown	Passing yards	Passing touchdowns	Completions	Pass attempts	Rushing yards	Games with a TD
2025	20	9 (0.45/gm)	5,643 (282.1/gm)	52 (2.60/gm)	454 (22.7/gm)	716 (35.8/gm)	16 (0.8/gm)	0 of 20
2024	18	8 (0.44/gm)	4,295 (238.6/gm)	24 (1.33/gm)	385 (21.4/gm)	588 (32.7/gm)	45 (2.5/gm)	0 of 18
2023	16	11 (0.69/gm)	4,332 (270.8/gm)	26 (1.62/gm)	351 (21.9/gm)	557 (34.8/gm)	65 (4.1/gm)	0 of 16

Next scheduled game

2026-09-10 · home · 2026 season

SF at LA

From our own schedule table. Schedules move; this is what the feed says today.

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

What is here. Every record on this page is measured against lines our archive actually recorded, through the end of the 2025 season.
What is not. A current week's number. Our live NFL prop capture covers two markets on a weekly schedule, which is not enough to post a number for every market above, so we post none of them rather than a partial set. When the capture widens, this block fills in and says which week it is reading.

Where these numbers come from

Results. Our own NFL game logs, refreshed weekly from the free nflverse release, joined to our schedule table for the season, the opponent and the home side.
Lines. Our odds archive, 2023 season onward. For each game we take every book's earliest recorded number and publish the median across them, so these are opening lines, never closing ones. Our archive is a fixed-hour grid and cannot honestly claim a close.
Which games count. A game counts only when a line we recorded lines up with a game he actually played, matched through the two clubs in that game. A prop on a player who was later ruled out has no result, so it is not in any denominator here.

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened against real posted numbers, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.

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We store only your email to send the recap. Analytics, not picks. Nothing here is betting advice.