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Josh Jacobs

RB, Green Bay Packers. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-09-07 · team report
Lined games
45
2023-09-10 to 2026-01-10
Markets priced
5
122 graded market-games
Rushing yards, over rate
48%
16-17
33 decided of 33 lined
Games played
47
in our archive window

Rushing yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
02040608069vs NO'24 W1669at MINW1744vs CHIW1881at PHIWC66vs DET'25 W184vs WASW230at CLEW386at DALW493vs CINW655at ARIW787vs CARW974vs PHIW1040at NYGW1155at CHIWC

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Matchup context

The game Green Bay Packers plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 7
Week 1 · Sunday, September 13 · 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
U.S. Bank Stadium · sportturf · dome · division game

The Green Bay Packers list him as EXE as of September 7, not on their active roster; the league's own weekly release does not say what that code means and we do not guess. What follows is that club's next game; whether he is available for it is a separate question. No one on the Packers saw more rushing attempts than Jacobs in 2025: 234 of the 415 they called in the 15 regular season games he played. He is listed at 5-10 and 220 pounds, shorter than 68 percent of the 197 running backs on a 2026 roster and heavier than 68 percent of them. He ran into eight or more defenders in the box on 17.8 percent of his carries, a stacked box less often than 86 percent of the 37 backs the league's tracking data qualified in 2025. The 17 defenses on the Packers' 2026 schedule gave up 120.9 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 124.0.

Rushing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Minnesota Vikings defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game21st of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed124.1yds
Rushing attempts faced per game31st of 32 · 1st = fewest faced31.1att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt8th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed3.99yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game8th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.76TD
Green Bay Packers offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game7th of 32 · 1st = most28.9att
Rushing yards per game15th of 32 · 1st = most119.8yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage28th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy51%
Yards per rushing attempt24th of 32 · 1st = most4.14yds
Josh Jacobs
2025 regular season · 15 games
Rushing attempts per game15.6att
Rushing yards per game61.9yds
Yards per carry3.97yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts56%
Offensive snap share59%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Receiving matchup

What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how much his offense throws, and how much of that goes to him
Minnesota Vikings defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Passing yards allowed per game2nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed177.7yds
Completions allowed per game2nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed16.4
Yards allowed per completion15th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed10.83yds
Passing touchdowns allowed per game2nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.88TD
Green Bay Packers offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game27th of 32 · 1st = most28.8att
Passing yards per game18th of 32 · 1st = most226.2yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage28th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy51%
Share of passing yards gained after the catch23rd of 32 · 1st = highest share43%
Josh Jacobs
2025 regular season · 15 games
Targets per game2.9
Receptions per game2.4
Receiving yards per game18.8yds
Catch rate82%
Share of his team's targets10%
Offensive snap share59%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His targets over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Touchdown matchup

Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Minnesota Vikings defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game1st of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.65TD
Points allowed per game7th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed19.6
Green Bay Packers offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game12th of 32 · 1st = most2.59TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.

Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
MarketLined gamesOver-UnderOver rateAvg lineAvg resultLast line seenWindow
Rushing yards3316-1748% of 3370.469.071.5 (2026-01-10)2023-09-10 to 2026-01-10
Rush attempts148-657% of 1417.616.417.5 (2026-01-10)2023-10-22 to 2026-01-10
Anytime touchdown4426 of 4459%58% implied26 scored, 26 implied55% implied (2026-01-10)2023-09-10 to 2026-01-10
Receiving yards2210-1245% of 2216.521.310.5 (2026-01-10)2023-09-10 to 2026-01-10
Receptions94-544% of 92.392.331.5 (2026-01-10)2023-10-30 to 2026-01-10

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Where that record came from

Rushing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
SplitOver-UnderRateAvg linen
All lined games16-1748%70.433
Home10-856%70.518
Away6-940%70.215
2025 season5-550%74.010
2024 season7-654%68.713
2023 season4-640%69.010

Game by game

Rushing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
DateOppLineResultGradedBooks
2026-01-10at CHI71.555under4
2025-11-16at NYG79.540under1
2025-11-10vs PHI70.574over1
2025-11-02vs CAR63.587over4
2025-10-19at ARI73.555under4
2025-10-12vs CIN79.593over5
2025-09-28at DAL76.586over1
2025-09-21at CLE73.530under1
2025-09-11vs WAS78.584over7
2025-09-07vs DET73.566under1
2025-01-12at PHI74.581over2
2025-01-05vs CHI64.544under4
2024-12-29at MIN70.569under4
2024-12-23vs NO89.569under5

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
SeasonGamesRushing yardsRush attemptsReceiving yardsReceptionsGames with a TD
202516984 (61.5/gm)253 (15.8/gm)285 (17.8/gm)37 (2.31/gm)10 of 16
2024181,410 (78.3/gm)319 (17.7/gm)382 (21.2/gm)39 (2.17/gm)12 of 18
202313805 (61.9/gm)233 (17.9/gm)296 (22.8/gm)37 (2.85/gm)5 of 13

Tracking profile

2025 season · percentile = the share of the 37 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Rush yards over expected per attempt
-0.09
14
Rush yards per attempt
3.90
27
Runs against 8+ in the box
17.8%
14
Time to the line of scrimmage
2.68s
14

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

Where these numbers come from

On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.

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