RB, Washington Commanders. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.
Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.
Matchup context
The game Washington Commanders plays next · 2025 regular season · rosters checked September 7
Week 1 · Sunday, September 13 · 4:25 PM ET
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field · grass · outdoor · division game
Ford is with the Commanders now, and he walks into a more run-heavy offense: they threw on 51 percent of their plays last season, 29th of 32, against 59 percent and 7th for the Browns. He has not played a game for them, so the club figures below are the Commanders' and his own are what he did with the Browns. Ford was 4th on the Browns in rushing attempts in 2025, with 24 of the 325 they called in the 13 regular season games he played. The 17 defenses on the Commanders' 2026 schedule gave up 118.9 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 the Browns met gave up 122.0.
Rushing matchup
What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing yards allowed per game22nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed124.4yds
Rushing attempts faced per game27th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced29.1att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt16th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed4.28yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game25th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.18TD
Washington Commanders offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Rushing attempts per game9th of 32 · 1st = most28.5att
Rushing yards per game4th of 32 · 1st = most134.7yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage29th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy51%
Yards per rushing attempt5th of 32 · 1st = most4.73yds
Jerome Ford
2025 regular season · 13 games
Rushing attempts per game1.8att
Rushing yards per game5.6yds
Yards per carry3.04yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts7%
Offensive snap share30%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Receiving matchup
What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how much his offense throws, and how much of that goes to him
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Passing yards allowed per game6th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed204.5yds
Completions allowed per game5th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed18.2
Yards allowed per completion23rd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed11.25yds
Passing touchdowns allowed per game1st of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed0.82TD
Washington Commanders offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Pass attempts per game31st of 32 · 1st = most27.6att
Passing yards per game24th of 32 · 1st = most195.8yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage29th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy51%
Share of passing yards gained after the catch24th of 32 · 1st = highest share43%
Jerome Ford
2025 regular season · 13 games
Targets per game2.5
Receptions per game2.0
Receiving yards per game7.9yds
Catch rate81%
Share of his team's targets8%
Offensive snap share30%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His targets over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Touchdown matchup
Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game7th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed2.00TD
Points allowed per game5th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed19.1
Washington Commanders offense
2025 regular season · 17 games
Offensive touchdowns per game18th of 32 · 1st = most2.29TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.
Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.
Record against the posted line, by market
Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
Market
Lined games
Over-Under
Over rate
Avg line
Avg result
Last line seen
Window
Rushing yards
15
8-7
53% of 15
43.8
50.6
49.5 (2024-12-22)
2023-10-01 to 2024-12-22
Anytime touchdown
39
10 of 39
26%
30% implied
10 scored, 12 implied
12% implied (2025-11-30)
2023-09-10 to 2025-11-30
Receiving yards
10
5-5
50% of 10
15.4
16.9
20.5 (2024-12-22)
2023-10-15 to 2024-12-22
Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.
Where that record came from
Rushing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
Split
Over-Under
Rate
Avg line
n
All lined games
8-7
53%
43.8
15
Home
4-5
44%
40.5
9
Away
4-2
67%
48.8
6
2024 season
4-2
67%
39.2
6
2023 season
4-5
44%
46.9
9
Game by game
Rushing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
Date
Opp
Line
Result
Graded
Books
2024-12-22
at CIN
49.5
92
over
6
2024-12-15
vs KC
25.5
84
over
6
2024-11-21
vs PIT
17.5
19
over
6
2024-09-22
vs NYG
49.5
37
under
6
2024-09-15
at JAX
47.5
64
over
6
2024-09-08
vs DAL
45.5
44
under
2
2023-12-24
at HOU
41.5
25
under
9
2023-12-10
vs JAX
48.5
51
over
3
2023-12-03
at LA
50.5
19
under
5
2023-11-26
at DEN
48.5
65
over
4
2023-11-19
vs PIT
49.5
31
under
5
2023-11-05
vs ARI
44.5
44
under
8
2023-10-22
at IND
55.5
74
over
3
2023-10-15
vs SF
35.5
84
over
7
Season totals behind those lines
Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
Season
Games
Rushing yards
Receiving yards
Games with a TD
2025
13
73 (5.6/gm)
103 (7.9/gm)
0 of 13
2024
14
565 (40.4/gm)
225 (16.1/gm)
3 of 14
2023
18
830 (46.1/gm)
334 (18.6/gm)
7 of 18
This week's line
Not published on this page yet
What is here. Every record on this page is measured against lines our archive actually recorded, through the end of the 2025 season.
What is not. A current week's number. Our live NFL prop capture covers two markets on a weekly schedule, which is not enough to post a number for every market above, so we post none of them rather than a partial set. When the capture widens, this block fills in and says which week it is reading.
Where these numbers come from
Results. Our own NFL game logs, refreshed weekly from the free nflverse release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), matched to the league schedule for the season, the opponent and the home side. The rates, shares and ranks on this page are our own calculations over that data, not figures the source publishes.
Lines. Our odds archive, 2023 season onward. For each game we take every book's earliest recorded number and publish the median across them, so these are opening lines, never closing ones. Our archive is a fixed-hour grid and cannot honestly claim a close.
Which games count. A game counts only when a line we recorded lines up with a game he actually played, matched through the two clubs in that game. A prop on a player who was later ruled out has no result, so it is not in any denominator here.
Rosters and listed size. The weekly rosters from the same release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), refreshed daily in season. They supply the club a player is on, his roster status, and the height and weight his club lists him at. The date they were last checked is printed at the top of the matchup section.
On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.
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