RB, Detroit Lions. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.
Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.
Matchup context
The game Detroit Lions plays next · 2026 regular season to date · rosters checked October 22
Week 7 · Sunday, October 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Ford Field · fieldturf · dome · division game
Pacheco is with the Lions now, and he walks into a more pass-heavy offense: they threw on 61 percent of their plays this season, 11th of 32, against 53 percent and 24th for the Chiefs. He has not played a game for them, so the club figures below are the Lions' and his own are what he did with the Chiefs. The Detroit Lions have him on their reserve list as of October 22, not their active roster. What follows is that club's next game; whether he is available for it is a separate question. He is listed at 5-10 and 210 pounds, shorter than 68 percent of the 202 running backs on a 2026 roster and lighter than 57 percent of them. The 17 defenses on the Lions' 2026 schedule gave up 106.9 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 106.9.
Rushing matchup
What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Green Bay Packers defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Rushing yards allowed per game18th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed114.3yds
Rushing attempts faced per game23rd of 32 · 1st = fewest faced28.7att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt14th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed3.99yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game29th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.50TD
Detroit Lions offense
2026 regular season to date · 5 games
Rushing attempts per game19th of 32 · 1st = most26.0att
Rushing yards per game13th of 32 · 1st = most114.2yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage11th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy61%
Yards per rushing attempt12th of 32 · 1st = most4.39yds
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Receiving matchup
What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how much his offense throws, and how much of that goes to him
Green Bay Packers defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Passing yards allowed per game6th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed209.2yds
Completions allowed per game23rd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed22.7
Yards allowed per completion2nd of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed9.23yds
Passing touchdowns allowed per game7th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.17TD
Detroit Lions offense
2026 regular season to date · 5 games
Pass attempts per game7th of 32 · 1st = most38.2att
Passing yards per game3rd of 32 · 1st = most297.0yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage11th of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy61%
Share of passing yards gained after the catch22nd of 32 · 1st = highest share41%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.
Touchdown matchup
Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Green Bay Packers defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game18th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed2.67TD
Points allowed per game10th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed20.8
Detroit Lions offense
2026 regular season to date · 5 games
Offensive touchdowns per game1st of 32 · 1st = most4.00TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.
Method: per-game figures over the 2026 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.
Record against the posted line, by market
Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
Market
Lined games
Over-Under
Over rate
Avg line
Avg result
Last line seen
Window
Rushing yards
26
9-17
35% of 26
51.7
47.4
37.5 (2025-12-25)
2023-09-07 to 2025-12-25
Rush attempts
17
7-10
41% of 17
12.7
12.3
10.5 (2025-12-25)
2023-10-01 to 2025-12-25
Anytime touchdown
36
11 of 36
31%
44% implied
11 scored, 16 implied
19% implied (2025-12-25)
2023-09-17 to 2025-12-25
Receiving yards
21
11-10
52% of 21
11.5
15.0
10.5 (2025-10-19)
2023-10-01 to 2025-10-19
Receptions
14
8-6
57% of 14
2.07
2.71
1.5 (2025-10-12)
2023-10-01 to 2025-10-12
Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.
Where that record came from
Rushing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
Split
Over-Under
Rate
Avg line
n
All lined games
9-17
35%
51.7
26
Home
3-10
23%
51.5
13
Away
6-7
46%
52.0
13
2025 season
4-3
57%
37.9
7
2024 season
1-6
14%
45.8
7
2023 season
4-8
33%
63.2
12
Game by game
Rushing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
Date
Opp
Line
Result
Graded
Books
2025-12-25
vs DEN
37.5
32
under
1
2025-10-19
vs LV
43.5
57
over
2
2025-10-12
vs DET
32.5
51
over
7
2025-10-06
at JAX
30.5
36
over
2
2025-09-21
at NYG
35.5
45
over
2
2025-09-14
vs PHI
35.5
22
under
1
2025-09-05
at LAC
50.5
25
under
1
2025-02-09
at PHI
22.5
7
under
5
2025-01-26
vs BUF
35.5
12
under
6
2025-01-18
vs HOU
37.5
18
under
5
2024-12-25
at PIT
42.5
18
under
7
2024-12-15
at CLE
56.5
32
under
6
2024-09-15
vs CIN
64.5
90
over
5
2024-09-05
vs BAL
61.5
45
under
1
Season totals behind those lines
Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
Season
Games
Rushing yards
Rush attempts
Receiving yards
Receptions
Games with a TD
2025
13
462 (35.5/gm)
118 (9.1/gm)
101 (7.8/gm)
19 (1.46/gm)
2 of 13
2024
10
347 (34.7/gm)
96 (9.6/gm)
96 (9.6/gm)
15 (1.50/gm)
1 of 10
2023
18
1,248 (69.3/gm)
286 (15.9/gm)
304 (16.9/gm)
56 (3.11/gm)
11 of 18
This week's line
Not published on this page yet
What is here. Every record on this page is measured against lines our archive actually recorded, through the end of the 2025 season.
What is not. A current week's number. Our live NFL prop capture covers two markets on a weekly schedule, which is not enough to post a number for every market above, so we post none of them rather than a partial set. When the capture widens, this block fills in and says which week it is reading.
Where these numbers come from
Results. Our own NFL game logs, refreshed weekly from the free nflverse release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), matched to the league schedule for the season, the opponent and the home side. The rates, shares and ranks on this page are our own calculations over that data, not figures the source publishes.
Lines. Our odds archive, 2023 season onward. For each game we take every book's earliest recorded number and publish the median across them, so these are opening lines, never closing ones. Our archive is a fixed-hour grid and cannot honestly claim a close.
Which games count. A game counts only when a line we recorded lines up with a game he actually played, matched through the two clubs in that game. A prop on a player who was later ruled out has no result, so it is not in any denominator here.
Rosters and listed size. The weekly rosters from the same release (nflverse-data, CC BY 4.0), refreshed daily in season. They supply the club a player is on, his roster status, and the height and weight his club lists him at. The date they were last checked is printed at the top of the matchup section.
On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.
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