Home / Players / NFL / Dak Prescott
NFL · Player analytics

Dak Prescott

QB, Dallas Cowboys. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-10-20 · team report
Lined games
48
2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18
Markets priced
7
254 graded market-games
Passing yards, over rate
57%
27-20
47 decided of 47 lined
Games played
49
in our archive window

Passing yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, number on the bar = the result, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
0100200300250vs ARI'25 W9268at LVW11354vs PHIW12320vs KCW13376at DETW14294vs MINW15244vs LACW16307at WASW17175at NYG'26 W1279vs WASW2276vs BALW3335at HOUW4316vs TBW5258at GBW6

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Matchup context

The game Dallas Cowboys plays next · 2026 regular season to date · rosters checked October 20
Week 7 · Monday, October 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field · grass · outdoor · division game

Prescott threw 246 of the 246 pass attempts the Cowboys made in the 6 regular season games he played in 2026. He is listed at 6-2 and 230 pounds, shorter than 60 percent of the 118 quarterbacks on a 2026 roster and heavier than 85 percent of them. He held the ball 2.83 seconds before throwing, quicker than 62 percent of the 32 passers the league's tracking data qualified in 2026. The 17 defenses on the Cowboys' 2026 schedule gave up 231.8 passing yards a game last season; the 17 they met gave up 231.8.

Passing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up through the air, how often his offense throws, and what he has done with it
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Passing yards allowed per game25th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed253.8yds
Pass attempts faced per game25th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced36.2att
Completion rate allowed6th of 32 · 1st = lowest allowed60.4%
Passing touchdowns allowed per game14th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.33TD
Sacks made per game28th of 32 · 1st = most1.33
Interceptions made per game21st of 32 · 1st = most0.50
Dallas Cowboys offense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Pass attempts per game2nd of 32 · 1st = most41.0att
Passing yards per game6th of 32 · 1st = most273.2yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage1st of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy67%
Sacks taken per game2nd of 32 · 1st = fewest1.17
Air yards per pass attempt21st of 32 · 1st = most7.37yds
Dak Prescott
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Pass attempts per game41.0att
Passing yards per game273.2yds
Completion rate66.3%
Yards per pass attempt6.66yds
Sacks taken per game1.17
Sacks credited to their defenders. It is not always the same count as the sacks their opponents were charged with allowing.Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Rushing matchup

What the defense he meets has given up on the ground, how often his offense runs, and how much of that is his
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Rushing yards allowed per game19th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed119.3yds
Rushing attempts faced per game28th of 32 · 1st = fewest faced30.2att
Yards allowed per rushing attempt13th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed3.96yds
Rushing touchdowns allowed per game28th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed1.33TD
Dallas Cowboys offense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Rushing attempts per game32nd of 32 · 1st = most20.3att
Rushing yards per game31st of 32 · 1st = most76.0yds
Pass plays as a share of plays from scrimmage1st of 32 · 1st = most pass-heavy67%
Yards per rushing attempt23rd of 32 · 1st = most3.74yds
Dak Prescott
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Rushing attempts per game2.3att
Rushing yards per game12.2yds
Yards per carry5.21yds
Share of his team's rushing attempts11%
Offensive snap share100%
Pass attempts plus sacks taken, over those plus rushing attempts. A sack is a called pass that never became an attempt, so it counts on the pass side. Kneel-downs sit inside the rushing attempts and cannot be separated out.His carries over his club's, counted across the games he played. Games he missed are in neither total.These are box score totals, not charted by alignment, so there is no split of what a defense gives up to slot receivers, to backs or to any other role. Nothing here claims one.

Touchdown matchup

Touchdowns the defense he meets has allowed, beside his own offense
Philadelphia Eagles defense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Offensive touchdowns allowed per game18th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed2.67TD
Points allowed per game16th of 32 · 1st = fewest allowed22.8
Dallas Cowboys offense
2026 regular season to date · 6 games
Offensive touchdowns per game6th of 32 · 1st = most3.00TD
Rushing plus receiving touchdowns. Return and defensive scores are not in this figure.

Method: per-game figures over the 2026 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
MarketLined gamesOver-UnderOver rateAvg lineAvg resultLast line seenWindow
Interceptions thrown4822-2646% of 480.500.710.5 (2026-10-18)2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18
Passing yards4727-2057% of 47257.2270.7276.5 (2026-10-18)2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18
Passing touchdowns4525-2056% of 451.571.891.5 (2026-10-18)2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18
Completions2210-1245% of 2223.824.823.5 (2025-12-25)2023-11-19 to 2025-12-25
Pass attempts2213-959% of 2235.436.935.5 (2025-12-25)2023-11-19 to 2025-12-25
Anytime touchdown455 of 4511%18% implied5 scored, 8 implied15% implied (2026-10-18)2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18
Rushing yards2511-1444% of 2510.212.310.5 (2026-10-18)2023-09-10 to 2026-10-18

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Where that record came from

Passing yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
SplitOver-UnderRateAvg linen
All lined games27-2057%257.247
Home18-482%257.122
Away9-1636%257.325
2026 season4-267%266.86
2025 season10-662%253.416
2024 season2-529%258.47
2023 season11-761%256.918

Game by game

Passing yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
DateOppLineResultGradedBooks
2026-10-18at GB276.5258under7
2026-10-08vs TB265.5316over6
2026-10-04at HOU270.5335over6
2026-09-27vs BAL264.5276over7
2026-09-20vs WAS263.5279over7
2026-09-13at NYG260.5175under7
2025-12-25at WAS274.5307over4
2025-12-21vs LAC246.5244under4
2025-12-14vs MIN261.5294over6
2025-12-04at DET265.5376over6
2025-11-27vs KC247.5320over6
2025-11-23vs PHI245.5354over7
2025-11-17at LV260.5268over1
2025-11-03vs ARI262.5250under4

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
SeasonGamesInterceptions thrownPassing yardsPassing touchdownsCompletionsPass attemptsRushing yardsGames with a TD
202665 (0.83/gm)1,639 (273.2/gm)10 (1.67/gm)163 (27.2/gm)246 (41.0/gm)73 (12.2/gm)0 of 6
20251710 (0.59/gm)4,552 (267.8/gm)30 (1.76/gm)404 (23.8/gm)600 (35.3/gm)177 (10.4/gm)2 of 17
202488 (1.00/gm)1,978 (247.2/gm)11 (1.38/gm)185 (23.1/gm)286 (35.8/gm)54 (6.8/gm)1 of 8
20231811 (0.61/gm)4,919 (273.3/gm)39 (2.17/gm)451 (25.1/gm)650 (36.1/gm)287 (15.9/gm)2 of 18

Tracking profile

2025 season · percentile = the share of the 32 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Completion % above expectation
4.4pts
94
Passer rating
100.7
75
Intended air yards per attempt
8.4
69
Time to throw
2.83s
38

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

Where these numbers come from

On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.

Get the weekly projections recap

How our projections did against the market. One email a week, no picks, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

We store only your email to send the recap. Analytics, not picks. Nothing here is betting advice.