RB, Atlanta Falcons. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.
Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.
Robinson is with the Falcons now, and he walks into a similar mix: they threw on 54 percent of their plays last season, 21st of 32, against 56 percent and 18th for the 49ers. He has not played a game for them, so the club figures below are the Falcons' and his own are what he did with the 49ers. Robinson was 2nd on the 49ers in rushing attempts in 2025, with 92 of the 481 they called in the 17 regular season games he played. He is listed at 6-1 and 228 pounds, taller than 85 percent of the 197 running backs on a 2026 roster and heavier than 82 percent of them. The 17 defenses on the Falcons' 2026 schedule gave up 118.5 rushing yards a game last season; the 17 the 49ers met gave up 113.0.
Method: per-game figures over the 2025 regular season, with the games behind each one shown on its panel and every 2026 opponent rated on that same season. Clubs and roles move between seasons. Conditions, not forecasts.
| Market | Lined games | Over-Under | Over rate | Avg line | Avg result | Last line seen | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 24 | 10-14 | 42% of 24 | 49.2 | 46.8 | 17.5 (2025-11-16) | 2023-09-10 to 2025-11-16 |
| Rush attempts | 9 | 7-2 | 78% of 9 | 10.6 | 13.0 | 4.5 (2025-11-16) | 2023-11-05 to 2025-11-16 |
| Anytime touchdown | 46 | 17 of 46 | 37% | 37% implied | 17 scored, 17 implied | 8% implied (2026-01-17) | 2023-09-10 to 2026-01-17 |
| Receiving yards | 10 | 3-7 | 30% of 10 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 (2025-11-16) | 2023-10-01 to 2025-11-16 |
Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.
| Split | Over-Under | Rate | Avg line | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All lined games | 10-14 | 42% | 49.2 | 24 |
| Home | 5-4 | 56% | 56.1 | 9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 33% | 45.0 | 15 |
| 2025 season | 1-1 | 50% | 16.5 | 2 |
| 2024 season | 2-8 | 20% | 53.4 | 10 |
| 2023 season | 7-5 | 58% | 51.1 | 12 |
| Date | Opp | Line | Result | Graded | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | at ARI | 17.5 | 24 | over | 1 |
| 2025-10-02 | at LA | 15.5 | 12 | under | 5 |
| 2025-01-26 | at PHI | 36.5 | 36 | under | 6 |
| 2025-01-18 | at DET | 36.5 | 77 | over | 4 |
| 2025-01-12 | at TB | 45.5 | 16 | under | 6 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs ATL | 64.5 | 60 | under | 4 |
| 2024-12-22 | vs PHI | 58.5 | 24 | under | 6 |
| 2024-12-15 | at NO | 76.5 | 65 | under | 6 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs DAL | 69.5 | 13 | under | 5 |
| 2024-09-23 | at CIN | 51.5 | 33 | under | 5 |
| 2024-09-15 | vs NYG | 52.5 | 133 | over | 5 |
| 2024-09-08 | at TB | 42.5 | 40 | under | 2 |
| 2023-12-03 | vs MIA | 40.5 | 53 | over | 2 |
| 2023-11-23 | at DAL | 38.5 | 53 | over | 8 |
| Season | Games | Rushing yards | Rush attempts | Receiving yards | Games with a TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | 404 (21.3/gm) | 95 (5.0/gm) | 28 (1.5/gm) | 2 of 19 |
| 2024 | 17 | 928 (54.6/gm) | 223 (13.1/gm) | 181 (10.6/gm) | 8 of 17 |
| 2023 | 15 | 733 (48.9/gm) | 178 (11.9/gm) | 368 (24.5/gm) | 8 of 15 |
On method: every figure here is a count or a rate over completed games, measured against numbers the books actually posted, with its window and its games shown beside it. Small samples are left small and labelled. Nothing here is a pick or a recommendation.
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