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A.J. Brown

WR, Philadelphia Eagles. This page is line history: what he did against the number the books posted, game by game, with the window and the sample size printed beside every figure. Records run through the 2025 season.

Data as of 2026-08-16 · team report
Lined games
50
2023-09-10 to 2026-01-11
Markets priced
3
113 graded market-games
Receiving yards, over rate
54%
20-17
37 decided of 37 lined
Games played
50
in our archive window

Record against the posted line, by market

Every market our archive priced him in at least eight times · the line is each book's opening number, median across the books quoting it · a market we priced fewer times is left off rather than shown with a sample too small to mean anything
MarketLined gamesOver-UnderOver rateAvg lineAvg resultLast line seenWindow
Receiving yards3720-1754% of 3770.575.968.5 (2026-01-11)2023-09-10 to 2026-01-11
Receptions2714-1352% of 275.245.445.5 (2026-01-11)2023-09-14 to 2026-01-11
Anytime touchdown4918 of 4937%43% implied18 scored, 21 implied40% implied (2026-01-11)2023-09-10 to 2026-01-11

Over rate excludes pushes and prints the decided count it is taken over. Whole-number markets (receptions, interceptions) push often, so overs divided by games would read several points off. The touchdown market posts no number at all, only a price, so it is graded as scored or not against the price implied by the books before their margin.

Receiving yards against the posted line

Last 14 lined games · bar = what he did, dash = the opening line (median of the books quoting it, each book's earliest capture) · teal over, red under
0255075100125vs WAS01-26-25vs KC02-09-25vs DAL09-04-25at KC09-14-25at TB09-28-25vs DEN10-05-25at NYG10-09-25at MIN10-19-25vs DET11-16-25at DAL11-23-25vs CHI11-28-25vs LV12-14-25at BUF12-28-25vs SF01-11-26

Counts of what happened against a real posted number, not a projection.

Where that record came from

Receiving yards · every split carries its own sample size, and a small one is left small rather than rounded into a headline
SplitOver-UnderRateAvg linen
All lined games20-1754%70.537
Home8-1338%70.721
Away12-475%70.316
2025 season5-742%61.412
2024 season6-650%74.612
2023 season9-469%75.213

Game by game

Receiving yards · last 14 lined games · books = how many had a number up when we captured it
DateOppLineResultGradedBooks
2026-01-11vs SF68.525under1
2025-12-28at BUF60.568over4
2025-12-14vs LV64.541under1
2025-11-28vs CHI54.5132over6
2025-11-23at DAL60.5110over7
2025-11-16vs DET55.549under6
2025-10-19at MIN60.5121over2
2025-10-09at NYG59.580over6
2025-10-05vs DEN61.543under2
2025-09-28at TB61.57under7
2025-09-14at KC59.527under2
2025-09-04vs DAL70.58under1
2025-02-09vs KC70.543under5
2025-01-26vs WAS58.596over6

Season totals behind those lines

Our own game logs · totals with the per-game figure beside them · only the quantities the markets above are graded on
SeasonGamesReceiving yardsReceptionsGames with a TD
2025161,028 (64.2/gm)81 (5.06/gm)5 of 16
2024171,242 (73.1/gm)79 (4.65/gm)9 of 17
2023171,456 (85.6/gm)106 (6.24/gm)5 of 17

Tracking profile

2025 season · percentile = the share of the 67 qualified players (8+ tracked games) this player is above on the raw number · these are style and situation measures, so a high bar means more of the thing, not better
Separation at the catch point
2.13
1
Cushion at the snap
5.65
25
Yards after catch above expectation
0.96
75
Share of the team's intended air yards
42.6%
90

Next scheduled game

2026-09-13 · home · 2026 season
WAS at PHI

From our own schedule table. Schedules move; this is what the feed says today.

This week's line

Not published on this page yet

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened against real posted numbers, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.

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