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Ryne Nelson

Starting pitcher, AZ. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-11
2026 starts
15
80.3 innings
ERA
5.16
Strikeouts
62
6.9 per 9
Walks
22

Advanced profile

Percentile among 453 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-07-02 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
17.4%
11
CSW rate
22.2%
2
xwOBA against
0.411
46
Hard-hit against
26.4%
46

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
02468at BAL04-13vs TOR04-19vs SD04-26at CHC05-02vs NYM05-08at TEX05-13vs SF05-19vs COL05-24at SEA05-30vs LAD06-04at MIA06-10vs LAA06-15

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts7–84.134.3715
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams2–24.54.54
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams1–52.674.336
Home3–53.624.388
Away4–34.714.367
Last 51–43.24.55

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-06-15vs LAA7.054.50217%0.306
2026-06-10at MIA4.024.51716%0.580
2026-06-04vs LAD7.034.52211%0.269
2026-05-30at SEA5.134.50414%0.589
2026-05-24vs COL8.034.53113%0.248
2026-05-19vs SF7.034.52310%0.422
2026-05-13at TEX7.084.50324%0.289
2026-05-08vs NYM6.274.51110%0.310
2026-05-02at CHC5.244.52117%0.562
2026-04-26vs SD5.043.52611%0.406
2026-04-19vs TOR0.114.51829%0.575
2026-04-13at BAL5.174.52124%0.272

Ballpark

K per start, home
3.6
8 starts
K per start, away
4.7
7 starts

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.