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Merrill Kelly

Starting pitcher, AZ. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-11
2026 starts
20
111.9 innings
ERA
4.83
Strikeouts
77
6.2 per 9
Walks
48

Advanced profile

Percentile among 453 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-07-02 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
20.2%
31
CSW rate
23.9%
8
xwOBA against
0.441
40
Hard-hit against
30.3%
23

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
01234567at SEA05-31vs WSH06-05at MIA06-11vs LAA06-16at STL06-22vs MIL07-04at SD07-09vs STL07-17vs OAK07-22at PIT07-27at CLE08-02vs LAD08-07

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts8–113.894.0819
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams2–43.834.336
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams2–53.293.937
Home4–54.334.069
Away4–63.54.110
Last 53–24.23.75

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Next start

2026-08-12 · home
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

From the official probable-starter feed; probables can change. Information, never a recommendation.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-07vs LAD5.243.541
2026-08-02at CLE5.053.545
2026-07-27at PIT5.264.510
2026-07-22vs OAK5.033.512
2026-07-17vs STL5.033.521
2026-07-09at SD7.063.531
2026-07-04vs MIL5.063.522
2026-06-22at STL6.023.53312%0.320
2026-06-16vs LAA5.144.51616%0.514
2026-06-11at MIA6.014.5226%0.244
2026-06-05vs WSH5.044.53725%0.535
2026-05-31at SEA5.124.52213%0.409

Ballpark

K per start, home
4.3
9 starts
K per start, away
3.5
11 starts

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.