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Luis Severino

Starting pitcher, OAK. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-11
2026 starts
12
61.5 innings
ERA
4.24
Strikeouts
65
9.5 per 9
Walks
31

Advanced profile

Percentile among 453 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-07-02 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
19.1%
22
CSW rate
25.2%
22
xwOBA against
0.365
69
Hard-hit against
25.3%
53

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
0246810at TOR03-27at ATL04-01at NYY04-08vs TEX04-13vs CWS04-18at TEX04-24vs KC04-29at PHI05-05at BAL05-10vs SF05-16at LAA05-21vs NYY05-29

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts6–55.274.6811
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams2–44.675.06
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams2–16.04.173
Home3–25.24.95
Away3–35.334.56
Last 52–35.04.95

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-05-29vs NYY1.015.50010%0.292
2026-05-21at LAA7.0105.50225%0.339
2026-05-16vs SF6.074.52518%0.366
2026-05-10at BAL5.144.54215%0.381
2026-05-05at PHI5.034.52118%0.400
2026-04-29vs KC7.084.52121%0.154
2026-04-24at TEX6.254.51115%0.345
2026-04-18vs CWS5.135.54512%0.458
2026-04-13vs TEX6.074.53427%0.570
2026-04-08at NYY5.074.55226%0.257
2026-04-01at ATL3.175426%0.528
2026-03-27at TOR5.033.53216%0.283

Ballpark

K per start, home
5.2
5 starts
K per start, away
5.6
7 starts
Park K factor
97.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.