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Bailey Ober

Starting pitcher, MIN. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-11 · team report
2026 starts
17
91.6 innings
ERA
4.52
Strikeouts
63
6.2 per 9
Walks
24

Advanced profile

Percentile among 453 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-07-02 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
18.2%
16
CSW rate
25.4%
25
xwOBA against
0.358
71
Hard-hit against
24.4%
62

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
012345678at TB04-25vs TOR04-30at WSH05-06vs MIA05-12vs MIL05-17at BOS05-24at PIT05-30vs CLE07-09at CHC07-17at CLE07-22vs KC07-30at KC08-06

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts6–113.714.0317
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams1–34.04.254
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams3–53.253.888
Home5–44.564.179
Away1–72.753.888
Last 52–33.43.95

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Next start

2026-08-11 · home
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins

From the official probable-starter feed; probables can change. Information, never a recommendation.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-06at KC6.003.503
2026-07-30vs KC6.034.522
2026-07-22at CLE4.024.514
2026-07-17at CHC5.173.522
2026-07-09vs CLE5.053.511
2026-05-30at PIT4.233.51712%0.533
2026-05-24at BOS5.034.50420%0.338
2026-05-17vs MIL5.014.5239%0.564
2026-05-12vs MIA9.074.50028%0.150
2026-05-06at WSH5.033.52515%0.330
2026-04-30vs TOR6.023.52119%0.282
2026-04-25at TB6.033.5227%0.283

Ballpark

K per start, home
4.6
9 starts
K per start, away
2.8
8 starts
Park K factor
98.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.