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Aaron Nola

Starting pitcher, PHI. Every number below comes from our own game archive, pitch-tracking table and prop-line archive, with the window and sample size printed beside it.

Data as of 2026-08-11 · team report
2026 starts
24
121.5 innings
ERA
5.63
Strikeouts
129
9.6 per 9
Walks
43

Advanced profile

Percentile among 453 pitchers with 8+ tracked starts, 2026 season through 2026-07-02 (our pitch-tracking window) · higher is better on every bar
Whiff rate
23.8%
57
CSW rate
28.9%
68
xwOBA against
0.401
48
Hard-hit against
25.8%
50

Strikeouts vs the prop line

Last 12 starts · bar = strikeouts, dash = that morning's opening line (median of quoting books, earliest capture per book) · teal over, red under, grey unlined
02468vs CWS06-07at MIL06-13vs NYM06-18at WSH06-24vs PIT06-29at KC07-05at DET07-10vs NYM07-16vs LAD07-22at MIA07-28vs WSH08-03vs TOR08-08

Conditioned record vs the line

Overs–unders against the opening strikeout line, split by the situations that move strikeout props · 2026 lined starts only
SplitO–UAvg KAvg linen
All lined starts10–145.385.3324
vs top-10 strikeout-prone teams2–55.295.647
vs bottom-10 strikeout-prone teams3–45.295.077
Home5–75.585.4212
Away5–75.175.2512
Last 52–35.45.35

Strikeout-prone = the opponent's strikeouts per game rank across the 2026 season, our archive. Counts of what happened, not predictions.

Next start

2026-08-13 · away
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins

From the official probable-starter feed; probables can change. Information, never a recommendation.

Start log

Last 12 starts · pitch-tracking columns blank where the game postdates our tracking window
DateOppIPKK lineBBERWhiffxwOBA
2026-08-08vs TOR5.084.522
2026-08-03vs WSH6.055.523
2026-07-28at MIA5.245.531
2026-07-22vs LAD5.145.515
2026-07-16vs NYM6.065.543
2026-07-10at DET5.085.522
2026-07-05at KC7.074.503
2026-06-29vs PIT4.155.52738%0.507
2026-06-24at WSH5.054.522
2026-06-18vs NYM5.065.51221%0.301
2026-06-13at MIL4.234.5238%0.354
2026-06-07vs CWS4.145.54524%0.312

Ballpark

K per start, home
5.6
12 starts
K per start, away
5.2
12 starts
Park K factor
107.00
2025 season, home park

Where these numbers come from

Information, not betting advice. This page reports what happened, with windows and sample sizes attached. Small samples are labeled with their n so you can weigh them accordingly. No picks, no recommendations.