Premier League matchweek 6 runs Oct 10 to Oct 12. This page carries all 10 fixtures: the kickoff, the match result prices our board has posted with the bookmaker margin removed, both clubs' measured form and rest, and their last meetings. The shortest price on the card is Coventry City against Newcastle United, which the market puts at 94.4%. No forecasts and no selections are published here.
Read 2026-10-15 09:10 AM ET. Prices move: the live board carries the current number.
In this series: Matchweek 5 · Matchweek 6 · Matchweek 7 of 38.
Matchweek 6 fixtures and match result prices
The prices below are the median across the 20 to 32 books on our soccer board quoting all three outcomes at the read stamped under the table. American odds; the home side is listed first.
| Fixture | Kickoff | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Leeds United | Sat 7:30 AM | +350 | +188 | +100 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford | Sat 10:00 AM | +170 | +250 | +148 |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | Sat 10:00 AM | −125 | +295 | +300 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham | Sat 10:00 AM | +175 | +245 | +150 |
| Sunderland v Brighton | Sat 10:00 AM | +210 | +245 | +130 |
| Manchester United v Tottenham | Sat 12:30 PM | −138 | +310 | +335 |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | Sun 9:00 AM | +185 | +232 | +150 |
| Hull City v Everton | Sun 9:00 AM | +300 | +230 | +100 |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | Sun 11:30 AM | +211 | +270 | +115 |
| Coventry City v Newcastle United | Mon 3:00 PM | −6154 | +2150 | +7250 |
Read 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 2026-10-11 08:55 AM ET and 2026-10-12 04:56 PM ET. All times ET, in kickoff order. Saturday, October 10, 2026 to Monday, October 12, 2026. Each fixture name links to its own section below.
The same prices with the margin removed
A three-way price list adds up to more than 100 per cent, and the excess is the bookmaker's margin. Removing it one book at a time and then taking the middle opinion across books gives the probabilities below. Across this card the median book margin ran from 4.54 per cent to 7.36 per cent.
| Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Books | Goals line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Leeds United | 20.9% | 32.3% | 46.8% | 25 | 2.5 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford | 35.0% | 26.9% | 38.1% | 31 | 2.5 |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | 52.6% | 24.1% | 23.2% | 31 | 3 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham | 34.5% | 27.4% | 38.1% | 31 | 2.5 |
| Sunderland v Brighton | 30.6% | 27.7% | 41.7% | 31 | 2.5 |
| Manchester United v Tottenham | 55.2% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 31 | 3.5 |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 33.6% | 28.6% | 37.8% | 32 | 2.5 |
| Hull City v Everton | 23.7% | 28.5% | 47.8% | 32 | 2.5 |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | 30.1% | 25.6% | 44.3% | 32 | 3 |
| Coventry City v Newcastle United | 94.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 20 | 5.5 |
Books is the number quoting all three outcomes at that read. The goals line is the median total goals line across the books posting one; it is the market's number, printed as a fact and not as a call on either side.
Every fixture
Our archive holds league matches only. We hold no cup or European results, so a club that played midweek in another competition has played more recently than the figures here show.
Arsenal v Leeds United
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 7:30 AM ET. Arsenal host Leeds United. Final score 2-1.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 25 books quoting all three outcomes: Leeds United 46.8%, a draw 32.3% and Arsenal 20.9%. Posted prices +350 home, +188 the draw, +100 away.
| Arsenal | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 4-0-1 | 2-3-0 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 8 | 7 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 4 | 3 |
| Last five, newest first | L W W W W | D W D D W |
| Days since last league match | 21 | 20 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Arsenal, last 5: Sat Sep 19, away to Brighton, 0-3 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Sunderland, 2-0 (Premier League); Sun Sep 6, at home to Chelsea, 2-1 (Premier League); Mon Aug 31, away to Aston Villa, 1-0 (Premier League); Fri Aug 21, at home to Coventry, 3-0 (Premier League).
Leeds United, last 5: Sun Sep 20, at home to Crystal Palace, 0-0 (Premier League); Mon Sep 14, at home to Newcastle, 4-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Brighton, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, at home to Brentford, 1-1 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, away to Nott'm Forest, 1-0 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Arsenal 6, Leeds United 0, 0 draws. Sat Jan 31 2026: Leeds 0-4 Arsenal (Premier League); Sat Aug 23 2025: Arsenal 5-0 Leeds (Premier League); Sat Apr 1 2023: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds (Premier League); Sun Oct 16 2022: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League); Sun May 8 2022: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds (Premier League); Sat Dec 18 2021: Leeds 1-4 Arsenal (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4.5 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 03:00 AM ET, across 7 books. 42 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyokeres | +135 | 42.6% | 7 |
| Kai Havertz | +140 | 41.7% | 6 |
| Bukayo Saka | +190 | 34.5% | 7 |
| Eberechi Eze | +260 | 27.8% | 7 |
| Noni Madueke | +268 | 27.2% | 4 |
| Max Dowman | +283 | 26.1% | 4 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Arsenal · Leeds United
Aston Villa v Brentford
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Aston Villa host Brentford. Final score 2-2.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 31 books quoting all three outcomes: Brentford 38.1%, Aston Villa 35.0% and a draw 26.9%. Posted prices +170 home, +250 the draw, +148 away.
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 2-3-0 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 4 | 10 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 9 | 4 |
| Last five, newest first | W L D L L | W D D D W |
| Days since last league match | 21 | 22 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Aston Villa, last 5: Sat Sep 19, away to Tottenham, 3-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Nott'm Forest, 1-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Hull, 0-0 (Premier League); Mon Aug 31, at home to Arsenal, 0-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, away to Brighton, 0-4 (Premier League).
Brentford, last 5: Fri Sep 18, at home to Chelsea, 3-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Bournemouth, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Sunderland, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, away to Leeds, 1-1 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, at home to Tottenham, 3-0 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Aston Villa 3, Brentford 2, 1 draw. Sun Feb 1 2026: Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford (Premier League); Sat Aug 23 2025: Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa (Premier League); Sat Mar 8 2025: Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa (Premier League); Wed Dec 4 2024: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford (Premier League); Sat Apr 6 2024: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford (Premier League); Sun Dec 17 2023: Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 06:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 49 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues | +130 | 43.5% | 8 |
| Brian Madjo | +175 | 36.4% | 3 |
| Nicolas Jackson | +175 | 36.4% | 8 |
| Callum Wilson | +178 | 36.0% | 6 |
| Tammy Abraham | +189 | 34.6% | 6 |
| Kevin Schade | +233 | 30.0% | 8 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Aston Villa · Brentford
Chelsea v Bournemouth
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Chelsea host Bournemouth. Final score 5-1.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 31 books quoting all three outcomes: Chelsea 52.6%, a draw 24.1% and Bournemouth 23.2%. Posted prices −125 home, +295 the draw, +300 away.
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 0-3-2 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 10 | 6 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 12 | 8 |
| Last five, newest first | L D L W W | L D D D L |
| Days since last league match | 22 | 20 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Chelsea, last 5: Fri Sep 18, away to Brentford, 0-3 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Hull, 2-2 (Premier League); Sun Sep 6, away to Arsenal, 1-2 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, at home to Brighton, 4-3 (Premier League); Mon Aug 24, away to Fulham, 3-2 (Premier League).
Bournemouth, last 5: Sun Sep 20, at home to Liverpool, 0-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Brentford, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Newcastle, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, at home to Everton, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, away to Man City, 1-2 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Chelsea 2, Bournemouth 0, 4 draws. Tue Dec 30 2025: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth (Premier League); Sat Dec 6 2025: Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea (Premier League); Tue Jan 14 2025: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth (Premier League); Sat Sep 14 2024: Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea (Premier League); Sun May 19 2024: Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth (Premier League); Sun Sep 17 2023: Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 06:00 AM ET, across 7 books. 51 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Junior Kroupi | −110 | 52.4% | 1 |
| Joao Pedro Junqueira de Jesus | +108 | 48.1% | 6 |
| Emanuel Emegha | +132 | 43.1% | 4 |
| Danny Welbeck | +145 | 40.8% | 7 |
| Cole Palmer | +155 | 39.2% | 7 |
| Morgan Rogers | +190 | 34.5% | 7 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Chelsea · Bournemouth
Ipswich Town v Fulham
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Ipswich Town host Fulham. Final score 2-1.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 31 books quoting all three outcomes: Fulham 38.1%, Ipswich Town 34.5% and a draw 27.4%. Posted prices +175 home, +245 the draw, +150 away.
| Ipswich Town | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 2-0-3 | 0-2-3 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 11 | 8 |
| Last five, newest first | L W L L W | D D L L L |
| Days since last league match | 21 | 20 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Ipswich Town, last 5: Sat Sep 19, away to Everton, 0-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Crystal Palace, 3-2 (Premier League); Fri Sep 4, at home to Liverpool, 0-2 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, away to Man United, 2-5 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, at home to Sunderland, 2-1 (Premier League).
Fulham, last 5: Sun Sep 20, at home to Man United, 1-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Liverpool, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Crystal Palace, 2-3 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, away to Sunderland, 0-1 (Premier League); Mon Aug 24, at home to Chelsea, 2-3 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Ipswich Town 0, Fulham 4, 2 draws. Sun Jan 5 2025: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich (Premier League); Sat Aug 31 2024: Ipswich 1-1 Fulham (Premier League); Tue Jan 2 2018: Fulham 4-1 Ipswich (Championship); Sat Aug 26 2017: Ipswich 0-2 Fulham (Championship); Sat Apr 8 2017: Fulham 3-1 Ipswich (Championship); Mon Dec 26 2016: Ipswich 0-2 Fulham (Championship).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 06:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 50 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Kusi-Asare | +170 | 37.0% | 2 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | +180 | 35.7% | 8 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | +188 | 34.7% | 4 |
| Chibuzo Nwoko | +190 | 34.5% | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | +200 | 33.3% | 7 |
| Josh King | +220 | 31.2% | 7 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Ipswich Town · Fulham
Sunderland v Brighton
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Sunderland host Brighton. Final score 0-2.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 31 books quoting all three outcomes: Brighton 41.7%, Sunderland 30.6% and a draw 27.7%. Posted prices +210 home, +245 the draw, +130 away.
| Sunderland | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 3-1-1 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 6 | 16 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 10 | 5 |
| Last five, newest first | L L D W L | W W D L W |
| Days since last league match | 20 | 21 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Sunderland, last 5: Sun Sep 20, away to Man City, 3-5 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Arsenal, 0-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Brentford, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, at home to Fulham, 1-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, away to Ipswich, 1-2 (Premier League).
Brighton, last 5: Sat Sep 19, at home to Arsenal, 3-0 (Premier League); Sun Sep 13, away to Coventry, 5-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Leeds, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, away to Chelsea, 3-4 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, at home to Aston Villa, 4-0 (Premier League).
Last 4 meetings: Sunderland 1, Brighton 2, 1 draw. Sat Mar 14 2026: Sunderland 0-1 Brighton (Premier League); Sat Dec 20 2025: Brighton 0-0 Sunderland (Premier League); Sat Feb 19 2005: Brighton 2-1 Sunderland (Championship); Sat Oct 30 2004: Sunderland 2-0 Brighton (Championship).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 06:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 51 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tzimas | +100 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | +183 | 35.3% | 8 |
| Brian Brobbey | +205 | 32.8% | 4 |
| Promise Oluwatobi Emmanuel David | +205 | 32.8% | 6 |
| Wilson Isidor | +223 | 31.0% | 8 |
| Romaine Mundle | +240 | 29.4% | 1 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Sunderland · Brighton
Manchester United v Tottenham
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 12:30 PM ET. Manchester United host Tottenham. Final score 1-1.
Market read at 2026-10-10 08:56 AM ET, 31 books quoting all three outcomes: Manchester United 55.2%, a draw 23.0% and Tottenham 21.8%. Posted prices −138 home, +310 the draw, +335 away.
| Manchester United | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 0-2-3 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 8 | 2 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 8 | 8 |
| Last five, newest first | D L D W L | L D D L L |
| Days since last league match | 20 | 21 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Manchester United, last 5: Sun Sep 20, away to Fulham, 1-1 (Premier League); Sun Sep 13, at home to Man City, 0-1 (Premier League); Sun Sep 6, away to Everton, 2-2 (Premier League); Sun Aug 30, at home to Ipswich, 5-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, away to Hull, 0-2 (Premier League).
Tottenham, last 5: Sat Sep 19, at home to Aston Villa, 2-3 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Everton, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Nott'm Forest, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, at home to Newcastle, 0-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, away to Brentford, 0-3 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Manchester United 1, Tottenham 3, 2 draws. Sat Feb 7 2026: Man United 2-0 Tottenham (Premier League); Sat Nov 8 2025: Tottenham 2-2 Man United (Premier League); Sun Feb 16 2025: Tottenham 1-0 Man United (Premier League); Sun Sep 29 2024: Man United 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League); Sun Jan 14 2024: Man United 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League); Sat Aug 19 2023: Tottenham 2-0 Man United (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4.2 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-10 08:17 AM ET, across 6 books. 49 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Sesko | +125 | 44.4% | 1 |
| Richarlison de Andrade | +140 | 41.7% | 1 |
| Bruno Fernandes | +167 | 37.5% | 6 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | +173 | 36.6% | 6 |
| Matheus Cunha | +188 | 34.7% | 6 |
| Marcus Rashford | +205 | 32.8% | 6 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Manchester United · Tottenham
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
Sunday, October 11, 2026, 9:00 AM ET. Crystal Palace host Nottingham Forest. Final score 3-1.
Market read at 2026-10-11 08:55 AM ET, 32 books quoting all three outcomes: Nottingham Forest 37.8%, Crystal Palace 33.6% and a draw 28.6%. Posted prices +185 home, +232 the draw, +150 away.
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 1-2-2 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 6 | 4 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 11 | 5 |
| Last five, newest first | D L W L L | L W D D L |
| Days since last league match | 21 | 22 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Crystal Palace, last 5: Sun Sep 20, away to Leeds, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Ipswich, 2-3 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Fulham, 3-2 (Premier League); Fri Aug 28, at home to Man City, 1-4 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, away to Everton, 0-2 (Premier League).
Nottingham Forest, last 5: Sat Sep 19, at home to Coventry, 0-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Aston Villa, 2-1 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Tottenham, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, away to Liverpool, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, at home to Leeds, 0-1 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Crystal Palace 0, Nottingham Forest 1, 5 draws. Sun Feb 1 2026: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League); Sun Aug 24 2025: Crystal Palace 1-1 Nott'm Forest (Premier League); Mon May 5 2025: Crystal Palace 1-1 Nott'm Forest (Premier League); Mon Oct 21 2024: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace (Premier League); Sat Mar 30 2024: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League); Sat Oct 7 2023: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-11 05:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 48 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | +142 | 41.3% | 3 |
| Jorgen Strand Larsen | +183 | 35.3% | 8 |
| Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz | +195 | 33.9% | 3 |
| Edward Nketiah | +200 | 33.3% | 7 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | +205 | 32.8% | 8 |
| Liam Delap | +213 | 31.9% | 8 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Crystal Palace · Nottingham Forest
Hull City v Everton
Sunday, October 11, 2026, 9:00 AM ET. Hull City host Everton. Final score 2-2.
Market read at 2026-10-11 08:55 AM ET, 32 books quoting all three outcomes: Everton 47.8%, a draw 28.5% and Hull City 23.7%. Posted prices +300 home, +230 the draw, +100 away.
| Hull City | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 6 | 6 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 4 | 3 |
| Last five, newest first | L D D W W | W D D D W |
| Days since last league match | 22 | 22 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Hull City, last 5: Sat Sep 19, away to Newcastle, 1-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Chelsea, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Aston Villa, 0-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, away to Coventry, 1-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, at home to Man United, 2-0 (Premier League).
Everton, last 5: Sat Sep 19, at home to Ipswich, 1-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, away to Tottenham, 0-0 (Premier League); Sun Sep 6, at home to Man United, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, away to Bournemouth, 1-1 (Premier League); Sat Aug 22, at home to Crystal Palace, 2-0 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Hull City 1, Everton 3, 2 draws. Sat Mar 18 2017: Everton 4-0 Hull (Premier League); Fri Dec 30 2016: Hull 2-2 Everton (Premier League); Thu Jan 1 2015: Hull 2-0 Everton (Premier League); Wed Dec 3 2014: Everton 1-1 Hull (Premier League); Sun May 11 2014: Hull 0-2 Everton (Premier League); Sat Oct 19 2013: Everton 2-1 Hull (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-11 05:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 45 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thierno Barry | +192 | 34.2% | 8 |
| Braiden Graham | +215 | 31.7% | 3 |
| Oliver McBurnie | +233 | 30.0% | 8 |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | +260 | 27.8% | 8 |
| Ilyas Ansah | +275 | 26.7% | 1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | +298 | 25.1% | 6 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Hull City · Everton
Liverpool v Manchester City
Sunday, October 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET. Liverpool host Manchester City. Final score 0-3.
Market read at 2026-10-11 08:55 AM ET, 32 books quoting all three outcomes: Manchester City 44.3%, Liverpool 30.1% and a draw 25.6%. Posted prices +211 home, +270 the draw, +115 away.
| Liverpool | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 7 | 13 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 4 | 5 |
| Last five, newest first | W D W D D | W W W W W |
| Days since last league match | 21 | 21 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Liverpool, last 5: Sun Sep 20, away to Bournemouth, 1-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 12, at home to Fulham, 0-0 (Premier League); Fri Sep 4, away to Ipswich, 2-0 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, at home to Nott'm Forest, 2-2 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, away to Newcastle, 2-2 (Premier League).
Manchester City, last 5: Sun Sep 20, at home to Sunderland, 5-3 (Premier League); Sun Sep 13, away to Man United, 1-0 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Coventry, 1-0 (Premier League); Fri Aug 28, away to Crystal Palace, 4-1 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, at home to Bournemouth, 2-1 (Premier League).
Last 6 meetings: Liverpool 2, Manchester City 2, 2 draws. Sun Feb 8 2026: Liverpool 1-2 Man City (Premier League); Sun Nov 9 2025: Man City 3-0 Liverpool (Premier League); Sun Feb 23 2025: Man City 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League); Sun Dec 1 2024: Liverpool 2-0 Man City (Premier League); Sun Mar 10 2024: Liverpool 1-1 Man City (Premier League); Sat Nov 25 2023: Man City 1-1 Liverpool (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4.5 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-11 07:00 AM ET, across 8 books. 47 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Braut Haaland | +101 | 49.8% | 8 |
| Hugo Ekitike | +150 | 40.0% | 1 |
| Jayden Danns | +170 | 37.0% | 1 |
| Phil Foden | +210 | 32.3% | 1 |
| Bradley Barcola | +268 | 27.2% | 8 |
| Federico Chiesa | +273 | 26.8% | 4 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Liverpool · Manchester City
Coventry City v Newcastle United
Monday, October 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. Coventry City host Newcastle United. Final score 4-1.
Market read at 2026-10-12 04:56 PM ET, 20 books quoting all three outcomes: Coventry City 94.4%, a draw 4.3% and Newcastle United 1.3%. Posted prices −6154 home, +2150 the draw, +7250 away.
| Coventry City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 record (W-D-L) | 1-0-4 | 2-2-1 |
| 2026-27 goals for | 1 | 9 |
| 2026-27 goals against | 10 | 9 |
| Last five, newest first | W L L L L | W L D W D |
| Days since last league match | 23 | 23 |
Record and goals count this club's Premier League matches in 2026-27 only (5 and 5 so far). The last five are the club's last five in our archive and can reach into another competition or another season; the fixture list under each club below names them.
Coventry City, last 5: Sat Sep 19, away to Nott'm Forest, 1-0 (Premier League); Sun Sep 13, at home to Brighton, 0-5 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, away to Man City, 0-1 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, at home to Hull, 0-1 (Premier League); Fri Aug 21, away to Arsenal, 0-3 (Premier League).
Newcastle United, last 5: Sat Sep 19, at home to Hull, 2-1 (Premier League); Mon Sep 14, away to Leeds, 1-4 (Premier League); Sat Sep 5, at home to Bournemouth, 2-2 (Premier League); Sat Aug 29, away to Tottenham, 2-0 (Premier League); Sun Aug 23, at home to Liverpool, 2-2 (Premier League).
Last 4 meetings: Coventry City 0, Newcastle United 4, 0 draws. Wed Feb 17 2010: Newcastle 4-1 Coventry (Championship); Wed Dec 9 2009: Coventry 0-2 Newcastle (Championship); Sat Jan 13 2001: Newcastle 3-1 Coventry (Premier League); Wed Sep 6 2000: Coventry 0-2 Newcastle (Premier League).
Anytime goalscorer prices for this fixture were captured 4 hours before kickoff, at 2026-10-12 11:00 AM ET, across 7 books. 49 players were quoted; the 6 shortest median prices are below.
| Player | Price | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haji Wright | +110 | 47.6% | 1 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | +115 | 46.5% | 2 |
| Yoane Wissa | +175 | 36.4% | 7 |
| William Osula | +184 | 35.2% | 4 |
| Ellis Simms | +185 | 35.1% | 4 |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | +215 | 31.7% | 7 |
Implied is the raw probability the median price carries, before the bookmaker margin. This market has no second side to remove that margin against, so it is not devigged and it is not comparable to the match result figures above. A pre-kickoff read, not an opening price.
Team reports: Coventry City · Newcastle United
How this page is built
- The fixture list is the published Premier League schedule for 2026-27, matchweek 6. Every fixture in the matchweek is listed, including any our board has not priced.
- The prices are the median across the sportsbooks and exchanges on our soccer board quoting all three outcomes at one read, with the read time stamped beside them. The probabilities are those prices with the bookmaker margin removed proportionally, one book at a time, then taken at the median across books and rescaled to sum to 100 per cent.
- Exchange prices are quoted net of the commission a winning account pays, so their implied probability is very slightly understated.
- Records, goals and form are our own match archive. It holds league matches only: no cup ties and no European matches, in any competition.
- Days since last league match counts the gap to that club's previous league fixture on the same definition our schedule producer stores for completed matches. A club playing midweek in a cup or in Europe has played more recently than this figure shows, which is why the two clubs' figures are printed separately and never differenced.
- No forecast appears on this page. We publish no soccer model number: our own match models are measured against the market and lose to it, so they are not published anywhere.
- Goalscorer prices are a pre-kickoff capture with the measured lead attached. They are not opening prices: our archive holds no record of where that market opened, so no movement can be shown.
Next steps
Frequently asked questions
Does Nebula Insights predict Premier League results?
No. We publish no picks, no selections and no score forecasts, and we publish no soccer model number at all. Our own match models are measured against the market and lose to it, so nothing from them is published. This page carries the market's prices, our measured form figures and the clubs' previous meetings.
What does removing the margin mean?
A three-way price list implies more than 100 per cent because the bookmaker's margin is built into every price. Scaling the three implied probabilities down until they sum to 100 per cent removes it proportionally. The result is the market's own probability, not ours.
Are these the opening prices for matchweek 6?
No. Each price carries the time it was read. Our archive starts when our board first polled the fixture, which is after the books first hung a number, so we never describe a price here as an opening line.
Why do the form figures exclude cup and European matches?
Our match archive holds league competitions only. A club that played midweek in another competition has played more recently than the figures here show, so the days since a club's last league match is an upper bound on its true rest and is never compared between two clubs.
Related: Premier League odds board · How to read betting odds · Matchweek 5 · Matchweek 7
Every number on this page is either the market's own or a measurement of matches that have already been played. The match result prices are what the sportsbooks and exchanges on our board had posted at the read stamped beside them, and the probabilities are those prices with the bookmaker margin removed. Nebula Insights publishes no picks, no selections, no score forecasts and no recommended wagers, and we publish no soccer model number of any kind. Posted prices move; the live board carries the current number. You must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction.